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Position of the Day 04-06-25 - Double Anchor Cube - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 22 May 2025, at 8:51 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 04-06-25 - Double Anchor Cube (Stick)

I was shocked when XG suggested this was a take. 3 ply gets smashed by the rollout.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 168
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 95
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=----BBC-A----B--dcCcabBb--:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 70.03% (G:24.98% B:0.37%) 71.72% (G:24.45% B:0.44%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 29.97% (G:3.16% B:0.09%) 28.28% (G:3.23% B:0.10%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.622 +1.300
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.874 (-0.126)±0.009 (+0.865..+0.883)
Double/Take:+1.079 (+0.079)±0.017 (+1.062..+1.097)
Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 48.0 seconds

3 ply takes (hint on ipad)

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