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Position of the Day 04-20-25 - Offense or Defense? - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 7 June 2025, at 12:16 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 04-20-25 - Offense or Defense? (Stick)

Everyone was on top of this one. Surprised I couldn't persuade anyone to play offense here when the opponent has a checker on the bar. ah_clem mentioned the variant of having a spare on the 8pt so I've included that variant below. It's quite the swing but makes sense given that with the spare we forego leaving 8 indirects amongst other things.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 173
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 160
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a--B-cD-B-B-bB---d-eA---B-:0:0:1:42:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 42

1.Rollout124/22 24/20eq: +0.345
Player:
Opponent:
58.66% (G:13.13% B:0.48%)
41.34% (G:8.09% B:0.32%)
Conf.: ± 0.020 (+0.325...+0.365) - [100.0%]
Duration: 43.7 seconds
2.Rollout18/4 6/4eq: +0.241 (-0.103)
Player:
Opponent:
56.23% (G:15.06% B:0.52%)
43.77% (G:10.22% B:0.48%)
Conf.: ± 0.033 (+0.208...+0.274) - [0.0%]
Duration: 41.4 seconds
 
1 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


Variant





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 173
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 162
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a--B-cC-C-B-bB---d-eA---B-:0:0:1:42:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 42

1.Rollout18/4 6/4eq: +0.393
Player:
Opponent:
59.75% (G:15.14% B:0.63%)
40.25% (G:8.91% B:0.35%)
Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.382...+0.403) - [99.9%]
Duration: 2 minutes 35 seconds
2.Rollout124/22 24/20eq: +0.370 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:
59.52% (G:12.39% B:0.46%)
40.48% (G:7.83% B:0.27%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.360...+0.380) - [0.1%]
Duration: 2 minutes 35 seconds
 
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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