Interestingly, the (3-ply) bot does NOT see strewing four blots around the board as a positive thing, though neither does it like your play of making the 3 point, which was also mine:

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 102 | Unlimited Game Beaver | pip: 133 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-B-A-CBB---abB--bbBb-bb-bA:1:1:1:25:0:0:2:0:10 |
| Blue to play 25 |
| 1. | 3-ply | Bar/18 | eq: -0.4363 |
| Player: Opponent: | 24.83% (G:1.84% B:0.03%) 75.17% (G:3.86% B:0.05%) | |
|
| 2. | 3-ply | Bar/20 13/11* | eq: -0.4542 (-0.0179) |
| Player: Opponent: | 34.49% (G:9.57% B:0.20%) 65.51% (G:34.53% B:1.78%) | |
|
| 3. | 3-ply | Bar/20 5/3 | eq: -0.5081 (-0.0718) |
| Player: Opponent: | 26.13% (G:3.86% B:0.08%) 73.87% (G:16.09% B:0.12%) | |
|
| 4. | 3-ply | Bar/23 7/2 | eq: -0.5725 (-0.1363) |
| Player: Opponent: | 26.06% (G:5.94% B:0.16%) 73.94% (G:24.23% B:0.41%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
(Interestingly, if we have our 8 point instead of our bar point, then it does like hitting.)
On the rollout, making our board does a bit worse still; but now the bot DOES like strewing the four blots (John's play):

              
 
              
 | | White is XG Roller++
score: 0 pip: 102 | Unlimited Game Beaver | pip: 133 score: 0
Blue is Colin G. Owen | |
| XGID=-B-A-CBB---abB--bbBb-bb-bA:1:1:1:25:0:0:2:0:10 |
| Blue to play 25 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/20 13/11* | eq: -0.4404 (+0.0273) |
| Player: Opponent: | 34.72% (G:11.08% B:0.32%) 65.28% (G:35.77% B:2.41%) | Conf.: ±0.0014 (-0.4418...-0.4390) - [100.0%] Duration: 20 minutes 10 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/18 | eq: -0.4678 |
| Player: Opponent: | 23.93% (G:1.95% B:0.05%) 76.07% (G:4.02% B:0.08%) | Conf.: ±0.0008 (-0.4686...-0.4669) - [0.0%] Duration: 17 minutes 26 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | Bar/20 5/3 | eq: -0.5214 (-0.0536) |
| Player: Opponent: | 25.84% (G:3.72% B:0.10%) 74.16% (G:15.84% B:0.20%) | Conf.: ±0.0021 (-0.5235...-0.5193) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 32 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout3 | Bar/23 7/2 | eq: -0.5917 (-0.1239) |
| Player: Opponent: | 24.73% (G:4.83% B:0.14%) 75.27% (G:21.94% B:0.52%) | Conf.: ±0.0033 (-0.5949...-0.5884) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 38 seconds |
|
| |
1 46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 22722104 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 22722104 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
3 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 22722104 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10