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I thought I understood takepoints... - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 22 July 2025, at 5:57 p.m.

In Response To: I thought I understood takepoints... (ah_clem)

Koca explained why the take point is what it is.





White is Player 1

score: 2
pip: 43
5 point match
pip: 90
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-aFB-------a---a---bbbbbbA:1:-1:-1:00:2:0:0:5:9
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 74.41% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 74.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.59% (G:0.14% B:0.00%) 25.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.487 +1.338
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+1.000±0.000 (+1.000..+1.000)
Redouble/Take:+1.338 (+0.338)±0.004 (+1.334..+1.342)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:50.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 0.3 second

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