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Bot Battle #78 Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 28 July 2025, at 9:25 p.m.

In Response To: Bot Battle #78 Rollout (Jason Lee)

While your rollout has stronger settings, 4ply/XGR+ v. my rollout with default settings of 3 ply/XGR, I found the difference between plays in your rollout to be a bit obnoxious. Both of our rollouts were only 1k trials so I extended mine to 15k to get rid of a lot of the variance.

My rollout held about the same distance between first and second. I'd be interested for yours to be extended and hash out some of the variance because I can't believe the difference in plays is anywhere near .040.

		White is Player 2 score: 2 pip: 139 9 point match pip: 174 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---B--CaC---cC-b-d-e-AC---:0:0:1:41:0:2:0:9:10
Blue to play 41

1.	Rollout1	13/9 8/7*	eq: -0.294
	Player: Opponent: 42.22% (G:11.17% B:0.44%) 57.78% (G:17.53% B:0.94%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.299...-0.289) - [100.0%] Duration: 13 minutes 11 seconds
2.	Rollout1	22/18 8/7*	eq: -0.306 (-0.012)
	Player: Opponent: 41.75% (G:10.57% B:0.39%) 58.25% (G:16.65% B:0.93%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.311...-0.302) - [0.0%] Duration: 13 minutes 59 seconds
1 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Bot Battle #78
  Jason Lee -- Wednesday, 9 July 2025, at 7:28 p.m.
  • Bot Battle #78
    John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 9 July 2025, at 11:37 p.m.
  • Bot Battle #78
    Stick -- Thursday, 10 July 2025, at 6:34 a.m.
  • Bot Battle #78
    ah_clem -- Friday, 11 July 2025, at 4:58 p.m.
  • Bot Battle #78 - Rollout
    Stick -- Tuesday, 22 July 2025, at 5:55 p.m.
  • Bot Battle #78 Rollout
    Jason Lee -- Monday, 28 July 2025, at 7:45 p.m.
    • Bot Battle #78 Rollout
      Stick -- Monday, 28 July 2025, at 9:25 p.m.
  • Bot Battle #78 Rollout 4-ply 7776 trials
    Jason Lee -- Tuesday, 29 July 2025, at 3:17 p.m.
    • Bot Battle #78 Rollout 4-ply 7776 trials
      Stick -- Tuesday, 29 July 2025, at 8:31 p.m.