[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Position of the Day 05-28-25 - Is it enough? - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 14 August 2025, at 6:16 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 05-28-25 - Is it enough? (Stick)

As you can see we win basically every time we hit. (22/36 = 61%) These virtual last roll positions when we own the cube are always interesting to me.

Nobody brought up the duplication of two and fours to hit and to cover. While it doesn't change the final verdict, DT, it is a much stronger cube when we remove some of that duplication creating more hit and cover numbers.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 40
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 106
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--ABCBCB----------a-acBfd-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 59.83% (G:15.81% B:0.51%) 60.49% (G:15.37% B:0.48%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 40.17% (G:2.36% B:0.00%) 39.51% (G:2.47% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.336 +0.687
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.428 (-0.022)±0.005 (+0.424..+0.433)
Redouble/Take:+0.451±0.005 (+0.445..+0.456)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.549)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 14.9 seconds

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.