3 variants, 2 different out comes. Anyone know what's going on?

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 92 | 7 point match | pip: 107 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-B-BBCBb-A--bBA---aabcbb--:0:0:-1:43:0:0:0:7:10 |
Blue to play 43 |
1. | XG Roller+ | 13/10 13/9 | eq: -0.354 |
| Player: Opponent: | 39.82% (G:2.40% B:0.02%) 60.18% (G:4.04% B:0.55%) | |
|
2. | XG Roller+ | 18/11* | eq: -0.377 (-0.023) |
| Player: Opponent: | 47.89% (G:17.83% B:0.31%) 52.11% (G:36.42% B:3.62%) | |
|
3. | 2-ply | 5/1 4/1 | eq: -0.409 (-0.056) |
| Player: Opponent: | 36.94% (G:1.63% B:0.01%) 63.06% (G:4.09% B:0.04%) | |
|
4. | 2-ply | 7/3 4/1 | eq: -0.474 (-0.120) |
| Player: Opponent: | 34.86% (G:1.77% B:0.01%) 65.14% (G:4.43% B:0.04%) | |
|
5. | 2-ply | 6/2 4/1 | eq: -0.479 (-0.125) |
| Player: Opponent: | 34.64% (G:1.61% B:0.01%) 65.36% (G:4.23% B:0.05%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 92 | 7 point match | pip: 110 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-B-BBCBb-A--bBA---acabbb--:0:0:-1:43:0:0:0:7:10 |
Blue to play 43 |
1. | XG Roller+ | 18/11* | eq: -0.335 |
| Player: Opponent: | 48.97% (G:17.70% B:0.32%) 51.03% (G:36.88% B:3.49%) | |
|
2. | XG Roller+ | 13/10 13/9 | eq: -0.391 (-0.056) |
| Player: Opponent: | 38.26% (G:2.32% B:0.04%) 61.74% (G:2.70% B:0.31%) | |
|
3. | 2-ply | 5/1 4/1 | eq: -0.468 (-0.132) |
| Player: Opponent: | 34.80% (G:1.58% B:0.01%) 65.20% (G:3.97% B:0.04%) | |
|
4. | 2-ply | 6/3 5/1 | eq: -0.486 (-0.151) |
| Player: Opponent: | 34.28% (G:1.55% B:0.01%) 65.72% (G:4.12% B:0.04%) | |
|
5. | 2-ply | 7/4 6/2 | eq: -0.487 (-0.152) |
| Player: Opponent: | 34.32% (G:1.67% B:0.01%) 65.68% (G:4.38% B:0.03%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 92 | 7 point match | pip: 111 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-B-BBCBb-A--bBA---acbabb--:0:0:-1:43:0:0:0:7:10 |
Blue to play 43 |
1. | 3-ply | 7/4 6/2 | eq: -0.233 |
| Player: Opponent: | 41.93% (G:3.25% B:0.04%) 58.07% (G:2.43% B:0.04%) | |
|
2. | 3-ply | 13/10 13/9 | eq: -0.326 (-0.093) |
| Player: Opponent: | 38.81% (G:2.26% B:0.02%) 61.19% (G:1.81% B:0.06%) | |
|
3. | 3-ply | 18/11* | eq: -0.423 (-0.190) |
| Player: Opponent: | 46.19% (G:14.24% B:0.29%) 53.81% (G:38.10% B:2.81%) | |
|
4. | 2-ply | 7/4 5/1 | eq: -0.458 (-0.225) |
| Player: Opponent: | 35.12% (G:2.18% B:0.01%) 64.88% (G:4.46% B:0.03%) | |
|
5. | 2-ply | 5/1 4/1 | eq: -0.469 (-0.236) |
| Player: Opponent: | 34.76% (G:1.59% B:0.01%) 65.24% (G:4.01% B:0.04%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2