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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 16 July 2008, at 11:16 a.m.

In Response To: Neil vs Stick Game 2 cube action (neilkaz)

I don't believe I gave much thought at all to this decision at the time. Possibly after Neil's last wimpy play 15/6 I thought he was up more in the race? Idk..no excuse to not consider cubing here, which I didn't do.

The score (after 1 game) is: Neil_Kazaross 1, Stick_Rice 0 (match to 13 points)

Move number 7: Stick_Rice on roll, cube decision?

Neil_Kazaross148


1O ' ' ' '6X1O3X ' ' '3O

'1X ' '2O4O2O2O ' ' '5X

Stick_Rice145

Position ID: 4OfgAxCwt8FBIA Match ID: cAmgARAAAAAA

Cube analysis
Rollout cubeless equity +0.5531 (Money: +0.5419)

Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.9381
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.0619)
3. No double +0.8492 ( -0.0890)

Proper cube action: Double, take

Rollout details:
Centered 1-cube:
0.6860 0.2278 0.0043 - 0.3140 0.0606 0.0017 CL +0.5531 CF +0.8492
[0.0018 0.0027 0.0005 - 0.0018 0.0016 0.0004 CL 0.0045 CF 0.0122]

Player Neil_Kazaross owns 2-cube:
0.6938 0.2299 0.0048 - 0.3062 0.0575 0.0017 CL +1.1662 CF +0.9381
[0.0022 0.0033 0.0008 - 0.0022 0.0019 0.0007 CL 0.0120 CF 0.0168]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
819 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 827570422 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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