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DQ 7: Run or break? *RO*

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Thursday, 21 August 2025, at 9:17 p.m.

In Response To: DQ 7: Run or break? (leobueno)

In a Youtube video Marc Olsen suggests that there are three situations in which we can break an anchor:

1. Upon rolling a double.

2. To hit.

3. To preserve a solid structure.

XG seems to think no. 3 applies. However, leaving the blot on the 18 plus the one on the 23 still looks like a whole heap of risk.

So will appreciate seeing a thorough explanation of XG's play.

		White is Opponent score: 0 pip: 116 7 point match pip: 153 score: 0 Blue is Donkey
XGID=-----bDBBB-B----bbBd-cbA--:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:7:10
Blue to play 62

1.	Rollout1	18/12 6/4	eq: -0.477
	Player: Opponent: 42.71% (G:7.50% B:0.46%) 57.29% (G:31.84% B:1.47%) Conf.: ± 0.020 (-0.497...-0.458) - [100.0%] Duration: 8 minutes 45 seconds
2.	Rollout1	9/7 9/3	eq: -0.635 (-0.158)
	Player: Opponent: 37.61% (G:6.64% B:0.28%) 62.39% (G:26.78% B:0.50%) Conf.: ± 0.019 (-0.654...-0.616) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 40 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 27454235 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• DQ 7: Run or break?
  leobueno -- Monday, 18 August 2025, at 6:04 p.m.
  • DQ 7: Run or break?
    ah_clem -- Monday, 18 August 2025, at 11:38 p.m.
  • DQ 7: Run or break?
    Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 19 August 2025, at 12:25 a.m.
  • DQ 7: Run or break?
    John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 19 August 2025, at 1:33 a.m.
  • DQ 7: Run or break? *RO*
    leobueno -- Thursday, 21 August 2025, at 9:17 p.m.
    • DQ 7: Run or break? *RO*
      Sam Pottle -- Friday, 22 August 2025, at 4:20 p.m.