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Position of the Day 06-07-25 - Rollout
Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 27 August 2025, at 10:00 a.m.
In Response To: Position of the Day 06-07-25 (Stick)
Surprising how big of a pass the original position is when upon first glance it doesn't seem that overwhelming. The race is close and the player being cubed has a fair offensive position. Note the variant below which would make a decent reference position.
         
 
          
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 139 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 135
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=a--ABBC-AA--dC---bbdBb----:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 71.10% (G:30.29% B:0.27%) | 70.87% (G:32.78% B:0.37%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 28.90% (G:4.23% B:0.15%) | 29.13% (G:4.61% B:0.21%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.684 | +1.401 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.928 (-0.072) | ±0.009 (+0.919..+0.937) |
| Double/Take: | +1.165 (+0.165) | ±0.015 (+1.150..+1.180) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 |
| |
| Best Cube action: Double / Pass |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 38.1 seconds |
Variant
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 134 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 135
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=a--ABBC-AA--cC---cbdBb----:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 69.83% (G:25.79% B:0.30%) | 69.91% (G:27.62% B:0.34%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 30.17% (G:4.47% B:0.17%) | 30.09% (G:4.72% B:0.20%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.611 | +1.257 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.870 (-0.130) | ±0.010 (+0.860..+0.881) |
| Double/Take: | +1.025 (+0.025) | ±0.015 (+1.010..+1.040) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 |
| |
| Best Cube action: Double / Pass |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 99.9% |
| Duration: 40.4 seconds |
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