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Position of the Day 06-08-25 - 'Last Roll' Recube - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 28 August 2025, at 9:08 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 06-08-25 - 'Last Roll' Recube (Stick)

Note the variant shows a true last roll recube and as John mentioned, in the original we have some racing chances. In the variant, not so much.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 51
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 74
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BCBBBB------aA-A--ababec-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 63.46% (G:2.02% B:0.04%) 63.76% (G:1.71% B:0.04%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.54% (G:0.02% B:0.00%) 36.24% (G:0.03% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.289 +0.585
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.341±0.003 (+0.338..+0.344)
Redouble/Take:+0.295 (-0.046)±0.004 (+0.291..+0.299)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.659)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 6.1%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2.7 seconds

Variant
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 51
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 90
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BBBBCB-----aA-A--ababec-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 56.28% (G:6.49% B:0.25%) 56.94% (G:5.80% B:0.22%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 43.72% (G:0.29% B:0.00%) 43.06% (G:0.32% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.190 +0.391
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.234 (-0.004)±0.001 (+0.233..+0.235)
Redouble/Take:+0.238±0.002 (+0.236..+0.239)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.762)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 53.5 seconds

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