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Position of the Day 06-19-25 - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 8 September 2025, at 5:04 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 06-19-25 (Stick)

I was a little surprised this is a take. I realize that in a couple of turns max the opponent should have a four point board but it's still immediately awkward allowing us some freedom and the race is kaput.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 142
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 113
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-B--AAB-CA--dBa--b-dCb--b-:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 75.78% (G:5.14% B:0.08%) 75.88% (G:5.05% B:0.10%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 24.22% (G:2.11% B:0.06%) 24.12% (G:2.16% B:0.07%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.546 +1.094
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.928 (-0.025)±0.011 (+0.918..+0.939)
Double/Take:+0.953±0.012 (+0.941..+0.966)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.047)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:99.9%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 52.7 seconds

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