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Variant Rollout

Posted By: Bob Koca
Date: Tuesday, 9 September 2025, at 8:26 p.m.

In Response To: VARIANT: Same position except own cube (Bob Koca)

Now the top two plays are basically tied. The cube being centered seems to contribute a lot to two up was correct by a lot in original position. Could be an example of when losing but not close to a cube yet making a big play can mess with opponent's cube power.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 139
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 160
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----EBB---aD---bddb---B-:1:1:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 32

1.Rollout113/10 6/4eq: -0.1731
Player:
Opponent:
41.05% (G:10.28% B:0.49%)
58.95% (G:24.27% B:2.73%)
Conf.: ±0.0022 (-0.1753...-0.1709) - [99.4%]
Duration: 2 hours 47 minutes
2.Rollout124/22 24/21eq: -0.1768 (-0.0037)
Player:
Opponent:
41.74% (G:9.38% B:0.49%)
58.26% (G:27.43% B:0.78%)
Conf.: ±0.0019 (-0.1787...-0.1749) - [0.6%]
Duration: 2 hours 29 minutes
3.Rollout213/11 13/10eq: -0.2002 (-0.0271)
Player:
Opponent:
39.38% (G:10.51% B:0.49%)
60.62% (G:22.89% B:2.25%)
Conf.: ±0.0086 (-0.2088...-0.1916) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 08 seconds
4.Rollout324/22 13/10eq: -0.2219 (-0.0488)
Player:
Opponent:
39.85% (G:9.94% B:0.53%)
60.15% (G:27.25% B:1.32%)
Conf.: ±0.0080 (-0.2300...-0.2139) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 28 seconds
5.Rollout324/21 13/11eq: -0.2239 (-0.0508)
Player:
Opponent:
39.84% (G:9.97% B:0.58%)
60.16% (G:27.76% B:1.32%)
Conf.: ±0.0088 (-0.2327...-0.2151) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 43 seconds
1 41472 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 2142 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 2141 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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