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Position of the Day 06-21-25 - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 10 September 2025, at 6:02 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 06-21-25 (Stick)

We're down a bit too much in the race to make this a take as almost all of our equity has to come from shots. If you get us a few+ pips it'll morph into a take.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 110
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 86
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=--BBBBBAA----A---ddc-Bb-b-:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 78.43% (G:1.29% B:0.01%) 78.65% (G:1.16% B:0.01%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 21.57% (G:0.77% B:0.01%) 21.35% (G:0.71% B:0.02%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.574 +1.155
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.964 (-0.036)±0.006 (+0.958..+0.970)
Double/Take:+1.063 (+0.063)±0.008 (+1.055..+1.072)
Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 18.3 seconds

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