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ROLLOUT Messy position cube action at 5a5a

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Wednesday, 22 October 2025, at 12:01 a.m.

In Response To: Messy position cube action at 5a5a (ah_clem)

The XGR++ verdict seems clear enough that I don't see the point of a full rollout.

This is a messy position for both sides, and regardless of who is on roll it's D/T due to the volatility. I can say this with some confidence since both players danced. Fortunately, my opponent missed the cubes too.

The prior play cube action before white danced:





White is BlunderBot

score: 0
pip: 176
5 point match
pip: 144
score: 0

Blue is You
XGID=abaCB-D-Aa--AAa-ab-bbAb-AA:0:0:-1:00:0:0:0:5:9
White on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 65.32% (G:32.68% B:5.56%) 65.25% (G:33.09% B:5.84%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 34.68% (G:16.32% B:3.57%) 34.75% (G:16.64% B:3.82%)
Cubeless Equities +0.480 +1.037
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.595 (-0.293)
xg Double/Take:+0.888
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.112)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

The posted position, after which I danced:





White is BlunderBot

score: 0
pip: 176
5 point match
pip: 144
score: 0

Blue is You
XGID=abaCB-D-Aa--AAa-ab-bbAb-AA:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:5:9
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 56.25% (G:35.33% B:9.91%) 56.32% (G:35.29% B:10.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 43.75% (G:15.59% B:2.05%) 43.68% (G:15.31% B:1.89%)
Cubeless Equities +0.403 +0.908
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.389 (-0.128)
xg Double/Take:+0.517
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.483)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

And after dancing, we're back to the first position above, where my opponent missed the cube again.

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