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Position of the Day 08-05-25 - Nom Nom - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 10 November 2025, at 9:26 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 08-05-25 - Nom Nom (Stick)

As ah_clem noted, classic example of hen's teeth. This actually came up OtB when I was playing XG so it does happen in the wild due to the Jacoby rule.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 77
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 107
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BBBBB-B--a-Ba----dabcc-A:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 47.92% (G:20.51% B:1.33%) 47.96% (G:23.12% B:1.54%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 52.08% (G:10.39% B:0.08%) 52.04% (G:11.04% B:0.09%)
Cubeless Equities +0.072 +0.189
Cubeful Equities
No double:-0.134 (-0.100)±0.001 (-0.135..-0.134)
Double/Beaver:-0.034±0.015 (-0.049..-0.019)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+1.034)
Best Cube action: Double / Beaver
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Beaver Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 9.8 seconds

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