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Position of the Day 08-11-25 - Late Game Containment - Rollouts

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 20 November 2025, at 12:25 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 08-11-25 - Late Game Containment (Stick)

Late game containment positions are fascinating in general because there are always so many potential small details that swing the decisions. I was pretty sure the dmp play was clear and was two out so I went with it. A little too loose when the fly shot is hit I guess. Tough otb.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 74 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 151 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=----aBDBB---AA--A--bccdBb-:1:1:1:65:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 65

1.	Rollout1	13/7 12/7	eq: -0.104
	Player: Opponent: 43.10% (G:5.77% B:0.19%) 56.90% (G:20.79% B:0.52%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.111...-0.098) - [100.0%] Duration: 49.2 seconds
2.	Rollout1	23/18 23/17	eq: -0.121 (-0.017)
	Player: Opponent: 46.55% (G:2.64% B:0.05%) 53.45% (G:29.85% B:0.46%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.127...-0.115) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 03 seconds
3.	Rollout2	13/8 12/6	eq: -0.127 (-0.022)
	Player: Opponent: 41.97% (G:5.61% B:0.22%) 58.03% (G:20.83% B:0.52%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.135...-0.118) - [0.0%] Duration: 25.3 seconds
4.	Rollout2	16/5	eq: -0.212 (-0.108)
	Player: Opponent: 41.06% (G:5.39% B:0.17%) 58.94% (G:26.27% B:0.83%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.220...-0.205) - [0.0%] Duration: 25.6 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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DMP Rollout

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 74 1 point match pip: 151 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=----aBDBB---AA--A--bccdBb-:0:0:1:65:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 65

1.	Rollout1	23/18 23/17	eq: -0.054
	Player: Opponent: 47.28% (G:2.35% B:0.01%) 52.72% (G:33.33% B:0.50%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.059...-0.050) - [100.0%] Duration: 20.0 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/7 12/7	eq: -0.100 (-0.046)
	Player: Opponent: 45.00% (G:4.43% B:0.28%) 55.00% (G:30.23% B:3.32%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.104...-0.096) - [0.0%] Duration: 18.1 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 08-11-25 - Late Game Containment
  Stick -- Sunday, 16 November 2025, at 8:51 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 08-11-25 - Late Game Containment
    John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 16 November 2025, at 2:41 p.m.
    • Position of the Day 08-11-25 - Late Game Containment
      Bob Koca -- Sunday, 16 November 2025, at 4:13 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 08-11-25 - Late Game Containment
    ah_clem -- Sunday, 16 November 2025, at 4:00 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 08-11-25 - Late Game Containment - Rollouts
    Stick -- Thursday, 20 November 2025, at 12:25 a.m.