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Position of the Day 08-13-25 - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 23 November 2025, at 6:00 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 08-13-25 (Stick)

4 ply thought the TP decision was borderline. All other plies thought it was a take. Another rare example of where XG can't see as well into the future as maybe a human can. To be fair, I thought the pass would be larger.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 53
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 123
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=aEa-----a---a------bcbbbB-:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 79.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 79.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 20.30% (G:2.67% B:0.18%) 20.14% (G:2.64% B:0.15%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.566 +1.139
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.980 (-0.020)±0.005 (+0.975..+0.985)
Redouble/Take:+1.032 (+0.032)±0.006 (+1.026..+1.038)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 37.6 seconds

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