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Position of the Day 08-15-25 - The most standard cube ever - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 25 November 2025, at 7:31 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 08-15-25 - The most standard cube ever (Stick)

Have to double because who knows. The duplication of 3s and 5s for the player being cubed makes it rough. I'd take OtB because it seems like a very playable position when we do pop a five or a three in the near future. I may stick on a stronger rollout post it later but the default XG rollout has the cube decision as a borderline decision.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 216
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 104
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=a--BB-B-------Ab-c-bcDbDb-:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 60.64% (G:43.27% B:3.01%) 60.10% (G:42.92% B:2.98%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39.36% (G:5.27% B:0.22%) 39.90% (G:5.25% B:0.20%)
Cubeless Equities +0.621 +1.213
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.853±0.006 (+0.847..+0.859)
Redouble/Take:+0.848 (-0.005)±0.011 (+0.837..+0.858)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.147)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 3.0%
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:78.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 12 minutes 33 seconds

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