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POTD 08-18-25 - Variant with Rollout

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 7 December 2025, at 3:23 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 08-18-25 - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 133
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 145
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----CCbCB--bBa--c-cbbB---:0:0:1:54:0:0:3:0:10
43Z-11P-41P-62S-31P-62S-
-52S-328-21E-63P-54

1.Rollout16/1 5/1eq: -0.536
Player:
Opponent:
35.51% (G:6.27% B:0.14%)
64.49% (G:10.38% B:0.38%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.542...-0.530) - [90.7%]
Duration: 3 minutes 05 seconds
2.Rollout19/5 9/4eq: -0.542 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:
35.54% (G:6.50% B:0.21%)
64.46% (G:10.91% B:0.38%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.548...-0.535) - [9.3%]
Duration: 3 minutes 03 seconds
3.Rollout29/4 8/4eq: -0.562 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:
35.16% (G:7.16% B:0.23%)
64.84% (G:11.42% B:0.45%)
Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.573...-0.551) - [0.0%]
Duration: 37.5 seconds
4.Rollout222/13eq: -0.565 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:
36.94% (G:7.50% B:0.32%)
63.06% (G:19.19% B:0.32%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.577...-0.553) - [0.0%]
Duration: 39.7 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Stick's rollout of his position is shown above.

The rollout of my variant is shown below. White's 6pt spare is back on her 8pt.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 135
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 145
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----CCbCB--bBa--d-bbbB---:0:0:1:54:0:0:3:0:10

43Z-11P-41P-62S-31P-62S-
-52S-328-21E-61P-54

1.Rollout122/13eq: -0.455
Player:
Opponent:
39.03% (G:7.22% B:0.27%)
60.97% (G:16.14% B:0.26%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.467...-0.443) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 32 seconds
2.Rollout19/5 9/4eq: -0.525 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:
36.09% (G:6.77% B:0.21%)
63.91% (G:11.26% B:0.41%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.537...-0.512) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 59 seconds
3.Rollout16/1 5/1eq: -0.529 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:
35.64% (G:6.47% B:0.15%)
64.36% (G:10.64% B:0.37%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.541...-0.517) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 55 seconds
4.Rollout19/4 8/4eq: -0.542 (-0.087)
Player:
Opponent:
35.13% (G:7.73% B:0.25%)
64.87% (G:11.05% B:0.45%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.556...-0.529) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 52 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 36906397
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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