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Rollout
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Neil v. Stick (Game 3) #15 (Stick)
Date: Thursday, 17 July 2008, at 3:20 p.m.
The score (after 2 games) is: Neil_Kazaross 1, Stick_Rice 1 (match to 13 points)
Move number 29: Stick_Rice to play 32
Neil_Kazaross 69
Stick_Rice 75 Position ID: u90EBgDb3QIwAA Match ID: cImpARAACAAA
• Stick_Rice moves 4/1 3/1
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 6/1 -0.3184
0.3879 0.0036 0.0000 - 0.6121 0.0035 0.0000 -0.2241 -0.3184 0.0010 0.0002 0.0000 - 0.0010 0.0002 0.0000 0.0021 0.0044 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 324 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 827570422 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] • 2 R 4/1 3/1 -0.3525 ( -0.0342)
0.3773 0.0029 0.0000 - 0.6227 0.0065 0.0001 -0.2493 -0.3525 0.0010 0.0003 0.0000 - 0.0010 0.0005 0.0001 0.0021 0.0050 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 323 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 827570422 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
Annotation
This was just wrong. 6/1 is clearly better for the race and saving a five isn't that important.
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