[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

63S-43Z-43K-53-53 and 63S-43Z-43K-52-53

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 15 December 2025, at 3:18 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 08-27-25 - Options w/53 - Rollout! (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 157
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-A-a-aE-B-A-dD--acAe----A-:0:0:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
63S-43Z-43K-53-53

1.Rollout113/10 6/1eq: +0.064
Player:
Opponent:		51.14% (G:16.16% B:0.53%)
48.86% (G:13.74% B:0.50%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.050...+0.078) - [99.9%]
Duration: 53.6 seconds
2.Rollout118/10eq: +0.034 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		50.94% (G:11.67% B:0.39%)
49.06% (G:12.54% B:0.43%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.021...+0.048) - [0.1%]
Duration: 1 minute 02 seconds
3.Rollout110/5* 8/5eq: -0.059 (-0.123)
Player:
Opponent:		48.20% (G:15.96% B:0.56%)
51.80% (G:15.34% B:0.90%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.075...-0.043) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 02 seconds
4.Rollout124/16* eq: -0.122 (-0.186)
Player:
Opponent:		47.77% (G:12.28% B:0.45%)
52.23% (G:17.26% B:1.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.139...-0.105) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 13 seconds
5.Rollout18/3* 6/3eq: -0.241 (-0.305)
Player:
Opponent:		44.39% (G:14.17% B:0.57%)
55.61% (G:18.82% B:1.52%)		Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.258...-0.225) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 04 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Stick's rollout of the original position appears above.

My rollout of a variant appears below. It is only 1 pip different, but the comparison of pointing on the 5pt versus covering two points swings from -.123 to +.008.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 158
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-Aa--aE-B-A-dD--acAe----A-:0:0:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
63S-43Z-43K-52-53

1.Rollout110/5* 8/5eq: +0.054
Player:
Opponent:		50.50% (G:17.88% B:0.76%)
49.50% (G:14.91% B:0.89%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.050...+0.059) - [69.6%]
Duration: 3 hours 30 minutes
2.Rollout118/10eq: +0.053 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		51.54% (G:12.40% B:0.40%)
48.46% (G:12.83% B:0.44%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.049...+0.056) - [29.3%]
Duration: 3 hours 26 minutes
3.Rollout213/10 6/1eq: +0.047 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		50.70% (G:15.38% B:0.56%)
49.30% (G:14.10% B:0.52%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.040...+0.053) - [1.1%]
Duration: 1 hour 00 minute
1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 46489065
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 46489065
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.