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The National Average - Variant with Rollout

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 17 December 2025, at 6:01 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 08-29-25 - The National Average - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 132
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 115
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-AA-AbE-C---bBBa-b-cbc----:0:0:1:33:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 33

1.Rollout114/8(2)eq: +0.837
Player:
Opponent:
73.84% (G:2.24% B:0.03%)
26.16% (G:1.65% B:0.03%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.827...+0.848) - [100.0%]
Duration: 30.2 seconds
2.Rollout113/7(2)eq: +0.797 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:
73.02% (G:2.95% B:0.04%)
26.98% (G:2.31% B:0.07%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.787...+0.806) - [0.0%]
Duration: 30.0 seconds
3.Rollout114/11(2) 13/10(2)eq: +0.795 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:
72.86% (G:1.71% B:0.06%)
27.14% (G:1.99% B:0.06%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.786...+0.805) - [0.0%]
Duration: 35.4 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Stick's rollout of his original position appears above.

A rollout of my variant appears below. There is a 4-pip difference.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 132
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 119
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-AA--bE-D---bBBa-b-cbc----:0:0:1:33:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 33

1.Rollout114/11(2) 13/10(2)eq: +0.758
Player:
Opponent:
72.17% (G:1.42% B:0.04%)
27.83% (G:1.62% B:0.05%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.754...+0.762) - [91.9%]
Duration: 1 hour 16 minutes
2.Rollout114/8(2)eq: +0.754 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:
71.97% (G:1.96% B:0.03%)
28.03% (G:1.51% B:0.04%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.750...+0.758) - [8.1%]
Duration: 1 hour 05 minutes
3.Rollout213/7(2)eq: +0.744 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:
71.90% (G:2.26% B:0.04%)
28.10% (G:1.75% B:0.06%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.739...+0.749) - [0.0%]
Duration: 41 minutes 00 second
1 7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 25803618
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 25803618
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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