It's heartening to hear that I'm not the only patzer here to clear the midpoint, while XG says it's a whopper. I was hoping someone would chime in with "...it's obvious to keep the the midpoint because of X, Y, and Z." but alas no one did.
So, I remain as flummoxed as before. And it's another counter-example of the old saw that says "don't prematurely make your ace point" - we've seen a few of these lately.
          
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 1
pip: 144 | | 5 point match | pip: 118
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--B-bBDBB---cB---bbcc---A-:0:0:1:65:0:1:0:5:10 |
| Blue to play 65 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 7/1 6/1 | eq: -0.494 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 39.06% (G:11.89% B:0.17%)
60.94% (G:12.70% B:0.80%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.507...-0.481) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 50 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/3 8/2 | eq: -0.542 (-0.048) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 37.58% (G:10.83% B:0.22%)
62.42% (G:12.34% B:0.74%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.554...-0.529) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 59 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 13/8 13/7 | eq: -0.620 (-0.126) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 35.41% (G:8.50% B:0.24%)
64.59% (G:7.93% B:0.29%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.634...-0.607) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 00 second |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 7/2 7/1 | eq: -0.645 (-0.151) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 35.35% (G:9.85% B:0.20%)
64.65% (G:13.91% B:0.71%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.658...-0.632) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 43 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2