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Bot Battle #105 -Variant with Rollout

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 27 December 2025, at 9:28 a.m.

In Response To: Bot Battle #105 Rollout (Jason Lee)





White is Professional

score: 2
pip: 124
9 point match
pip: 141
score: 0

Blue is Hive Mind
XGID=---BCBBb----bB--Bd-dAa-Ab-:0:0:1:53:0:2:0:9:10
Original Position

1.xgRollout116/13 16/11eq: +0.030
Player:
Opponent:
49.07% (G:16.82% B:0.63%)
50.93% (G:16.24% B:0.42%)
Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.019...+0.040) - [100.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 42 seconds
2.Rollout116/8eq: -0.036 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:
48.38% (G:16.80% B:0.58%)
51.62% (G:19.08% B:1.01%)
Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.047...-0.026) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 29 seconds
3.playedRollout123/20 16/11eq: -0.044 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:
47.47% (G:11.27% B:0.32%)
52.53% (G:8.33% B:0.18%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.053...-0.035) - [0.0%]
Duration: 35 minutes 57 seconds
4.Rollout120/15 4/1eq: -0.104 (-0.133)
Player:
Opponent:
46.71% (G:15.62% B:0.55%)
53.29% (G:20.04% B:0.46%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.114...-0.094) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 10 seconds
5.Rollout123/15eq: -0.188 (-0.218)
Player:
Opponent:
44.46% (G:9.64% B:0.37%)
55.54% (G:13.04% B:0.20%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.198...-0.179) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 25 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Search interval: Huge

Above is Jason's rollout of the original position.

Below is a variant.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 124
9 point match
pip: 139
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--ABBBBb----bB--Bd-dAa-Ab-:0:0:1:53:0:2:0:9:10
Variant 1: Blue's 4pt spare is moved to the 2pt

1.Rollout123/20 16/11eq: -0.037
Player:
Opponent:
47.91% (G:12.52% B:0.34%)
52.09% (G:9.95% B:0.25%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.043...-0.031) - [100.0%]
Duration: 27 minutes 26 seconds
2.Rollout116/13 16/11eq: -0.055 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:
47.79% (G:17.35% B:0.54%)
52.21% (G:19.15% B:0.72%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.062...-0.049) - [0.0%]
Duration: 23 minutes 07 seconds
3.Rollout216/8eq: -0.074 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:
48.08% (G:17.65% B:0.55%)
51.92% (G:21.32% B:1.43%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.087...-0.060) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 58 seconds
4.Rollout220/15 5/2eq: -0.106 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:
47.02% (G:16.59% B:0.50%)
52.98% (G:20.43% B:0.63%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.119...-0.092) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 37 seconds
5.Rollout213/10 13/8eq: -0.119 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:
47.00% (G:17.19% B:0.58%)
53.00% (G:19.34% B:1.05%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.134...-0.104) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 45 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 32510498
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 32510498
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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