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Bot Battle #103 - Variants with Rollout

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 28 December 2025, at 1:03 a.m.

In Response To: Bot Battle #103 Rollout (Jason Lee)





White is Professional

score: 2
pip: 143
9 point match
pip: 152
score: 0

Blue is Hive Mind
XGID=----CBCb-a-AcB--Bd-cA--Ab-:0:0:1:31:0:2:0:9:10
Original Position

1.xgRollout113/9* eq: +0.308
Player:
Opponent:		55.18% (G:21.09% B:0.75%)
44.82% (G:13.84% B:0.97%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.296...+0.320) - [100.0%]
Duration: 45 minutes 06 seconds
2.playedRollout16/3 4/3eq: +0.210 (-0.098)
Player:
Opponent:		53.03% (G:18.73% B:0.62%)
46.97% (G:12.72% B:0.43%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.199...+0.221) - [0.0%]
Duration: 42 minutes 24 seconds
3.Rollout111/8 4/3eq: +0.063 (-0.244)
Player:
Opponent:		50.10% (G:17.24% B:0.63%)
49.90% (G:15.80% B:0.54%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.052...+0.075) - [0.0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 29 seconds
4.Rollout123/22 11/8eq: +0.017 (-0.291)
Player:
Opponent:		49.05% (G:14.86% B:0.51%)
50.95% (G:13.95% B:0.42%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.005...+0.028) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 46 seconds
5.Rollout123/20 4/3eq: +0.014 (-0.293)
Player:
Opponent:		48.59% (G:12.42% B:0.39%)
51.41% (G:9.26% B:0.20%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.005...+0.024) - [0.0%]
Duration: 28 minutes 29 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Search interval: Huge

Jason's rollout of the original position is above.

There are two variants rolled out below.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 143
9 point match
pip: 158
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----C-CbBa-AcB--Bd-cA--Ab-:0:0:1:31:0:2:0:9:10
Blue has 8pt instead of 5pt

1.Rollout16/3 4/3eq: -0.050
Player:
Opponent:		48.01% (G:15.02% B:0.67%)
51.99% (G:17.66% B:0.62%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.058...-0.042) - [100.0%]
Duration: 53 minutes 14 seconds
2.Rollout18/5 6/5eq: -0.081 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		47.44% (G:15.13% B:0.67%)
52.56% (G:19.62% B:0.98%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.089...-0.073) - [0.0%]
Duration: 53 minutes 51 seconds
3.Rollout113/9* eq: -0.107 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:		47.38% (G:14.76% B:0.63%)
52.62% (G:20.09% B:1.25%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.115...-0.098) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 01 minute
4.Rollout211/8 4/3eq: -0.122 (-0.072)
Player:
Opponent:		46.39% (G:12.99% B:0.49%)
53.61% (G:17.08% B:0.52%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.136...-0.108) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 10 seconds
5.Rollout223/20 4/3eq: -0.146 (-0.096)
Player:
Opponent:		45.26% (G:11.13% B:0.39%)
54.74% (G:12.03% B:0.41%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.160...-0.132) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 13 seconds
6.Rollout211/8 6/5eq: -0.150 (-0.100)
Player:
Opponent:		45.93% (G:12.36% B:0.47%)
54.07% (G:17.23% B:0.51%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.164...-0.136) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 45 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 74779933
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 74779933
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 143
9 point match
pip: 164
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----CBCb-a-AcB---d-cA-BAb-:0:0:1:31:0:2:0:9:10
Blue has 22pt instead of 16pt

1.Rollout16/3 4/3eq: +0.139
Player:
Opponent:		51.51% (G:18.44% B:0.71%)
48.49% (G:14.42% B:0.56%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.131...+0.147) - [100.0%]
Duration: 57 minutes 24 seconds
2.Rollout113/9* eq: +0.109 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		50.64% (G:18.68% B:0.73%)
49.36% (G:16.32% B:0.88%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.100...+0.117) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 02 minutes
3.Rollout223/20 4/3eq: +0.088 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		50.42% (G:16.53% B:0.54%)
49.58% (G:13.37% B:0.43%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.077...+0.100) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 37 seconds
4.Rollout323/20 6/5eq: +0.035 (-0.104)
Player:
Opponent:		49.05% (G:15.46% B:0.50%)
50.95% (G:13.09% B:0.31%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.021...+0.049) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 10 seconds
5.Rollout323/20 11/10eq: +0.022 (-0.117)
Player:
Opponent:		48.82% (G:15.16% B:0.43%)
51.18% (G:12.51% B:0.39%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.008...+0.037) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 59 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 32510498
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 32510498
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 32510498
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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