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Position of the Day 09-10-25 - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 31 December 2025, at 3:54 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 09-10-25 (Stick)

The biggest notable reason for not needing to release the back checker into the outfield is the opponent has no new inner board points made and the kicker, a blot to boot. If we cover that blot in the worst natural way (Variant #1) it's basically a toss up. If we cover that blot in the best natural way (Variant #2) then it's right to run the checker.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 156 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 162 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=--aB-bB-C-C-cB----ceB-a-A-:0:0:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.	Rollout1	13/7 8/7	eq: +0.227
	Player: Opponent: 56.18% (G:10.38% B:0.44%) 43.82% (G:8.91% B:0.24%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.219...+0.234) - [100.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 24 seconds
2.	Rollout1	24/17	eq: +0.181 (-0.045)
	Player: Opponent: 55.17% (G:8.57% B:0.33%) 44.83% (G:8.09% B:0.23%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.175...+0.187) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 20 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

---

Variant #1

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 152 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 162 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=--aB-bB-C-C-cB----beB-b-A-:0:0:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.	Rollout1	13/7 8/7	eq: +0.119
	Player: Opponent: 53.41% (G:10.25% B:0.46%) 46.59% (G:10.54% B:0.30%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.112...+0.127) - [84.5%] Duration: 4 minutes 21 seconds
2.	Rollout1	24/17	eq: +0.114 (-0.005)
	Player: Opponent: 53.27% (G:8.55% B:0.32%) 46.73% (G:8.96% B:0.26%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.108...+0.121) - [15.5%] Duration: 4 minutes 19 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

---

Variant #2

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 153 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 162 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=--aB-bB-C-C-cB----cdB-b-A-:0:0:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.	Rollout1	24/17	eq: +0.089
	Player: Opponent: 52.56% (G:8.64% B:0.34%) 47.44% (G:9.13% B:0.25%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.079...+0.098) - [100.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 01 second
2.	Rollout1	13/7 8/7	eq: +0.065 (-0.024)
	Player: Opponent: 51.99% (G:10.03% B:0.42%) 48.01% (G:10.84% B:0.36%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.055...+0.074) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 58 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 09-10-25
  Stick -- Monday, 29 December 2025, at 3:18 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 09-10-25
    Jason Lee -- Monday, 29 December 2025, at 3:51 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 09-10-25
    ah_clem -- Monday, 29 December 2025, at 4:25 p.m.
    • Position of the Day 09-10-25
      Stick -- Wednesday, 31 December 2025, at 3:16 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 09-10-25
    Francesco -- Monday, 29 December 2025, at 4:38 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 09-10-25
    Ian Shaw -- Monday, 29 December 2025, at 5:38 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 09-10-25
    Chuck Bower -- Monday, 29 December 2025, at 7:38 p.m.
    • Position of the Day 09-10-25
      Jason Lee -- Monday, 29 December 2025, at 9:41 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 09-10-25
    John O'Hagan -- Monday, 29 December 2025, at 9:40 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 09-10-25
    Negheonegu -- Tuesday, 30 December 2025, at 2:59 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 09-10-25 - Rollout
    Stick -- Wednesday, 31 December 2025, at 3:54 a.m.