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Holding game - Cusp Variant with Rollout

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 6 January 2026, at 7:47 a.m.

In Response To: Holding game checker Play rollout (negheonegu)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 116
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 114
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----bBF-CB---B---bbccba---:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

1.Rollout16/3 6/2eq: +0,516
Player:
Opponent:		64,59% (G:2,43% B:0,07%)
35,41% (G:2,07% B:0,05%)		Conf.: ± 0,008 (+0,508...+0,524) - [100,0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 11 seconds
2.Rollout18/5 6/2eq: +0,474 (-0,042)
Player:
Opponent:		63,57% (G:2,21% B:0,05%)
36,43% (G:2,11% B:0,05%)		Conf.: ± 0,008 (+0,466...+0,482) - [0,0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 39 seconds
3.Rollout113/9 6/3eq: +0,466 (-0,050)
Player:
Opponent:		63,31% (G:2,37% B:0,06%)
36,69% (G:2,79% B:0,06%)		Conf.: ± 0,008 (+0,458...+0,474) - [0,0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 16 seconds
4.Rollout113/9 8/5eq: +0,432 (-0,084)
Player:
Opponent:		62,06% (G:2,07% B:0,06%)
37,94% (G:2,54% B:0,06%)		Conf.: ± 0,008 (+0,424...+0,440) - [0,0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 33 seconds
5.XG Roller++8/1eq: +0,393 (-0,124)
Player:
Opponent:		61,53% (G:3,10% B:0,05%)
38,47% (G:3,25% B:0,10%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is negheonegu's rollout of the original position.

Below is a cusp variant. (White has her 11pt instead of her 7pt.)

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 124
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 114
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----bBF-CB---Bb--b-ccba---:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Variant: White has 11pt instead of her 7pt

1.Rollout113/9 6/3eq: +0.691
Player:
Opponent:		69.77% (G:2.34% B:0.08%)
30.23% (G:1.96% B:0.05%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.687...+0.694) - [50.5%]
Duration: 37 minutes 25 seconds
2.Rollout16/3 6/2eq: +0.691 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		69.89% (G:2.13% B:0.07%)
30.11% (G:1.74% B:0.04%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.688...+0.694) - [49.5%]
Duration: 43 minutes 11 seconds
3.Rollout28/5 6/2eq: +0.676 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		69.75% (G:1.97% B:0.06%)
30.25% (G:1.62% B:0.03%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.672...+0.681) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 22 seconds
4.Rollout213/9 8/5eq: +0.671 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		69.30% (G:2.26% B:0.07%)
30.70% (G:1.91% B:0.05%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.666...+0.675) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 20 seconds
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 12475311
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 12475311
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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