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Position of the Day 01-10-25 - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 13 January 2026, at 9:38 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 01-10-25 (Stick)

I figured a lot of people would double this OtB. Note our gammons lost when we do lose.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 65
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 142
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-BBBCB----------Bb-bdccB:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 70.37% (G:8.12% B:0.23%) 70.80% (G:8.38% B:0.24%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 29.63% (G:16.14% B:0.03%) 29.20% (G:16.26% B:0.03%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.329 +0.679
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.682±0.010 (+0.672..+0.692)
Redouble/Take:+0.595 (-0.087)±0.015 (+0.581..+0.610)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.318)
 
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 17.7%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 27.3 seconds

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