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PotD 01-12-25 - K or @? - Five Variants
Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 18 January 2026, at 2:15 a.m.
In Response To: Position of the Day 01-12-25 - K or @? - Rollout (Stick)
         
 
           
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 144 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 158
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--a--CCaB-A-cDb--b-b-bbAA-:0:0:1:65:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Original Position |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/7* 7/2* | eq: -0.061 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.73% (G:19.91% B:0.72%)
52.27% (G:18.11% B:1.33%) | Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.077...-0.044) - [100.0%]
Duration: 48.5 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/18 23/18 | eq: -0.108 (-0.047) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.19% (G:9.91% B:0.34%)
52.81% (G:12.46% B:0.45%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.122...-0.095) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 00 second |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.
Below are four contrasting variants and one cusp, each with a single change in the position.
Nack
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 144 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 156
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--a--CCaC---cDb--b-b-bbAA-:0:0:1:65:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Variant 1: Blue's 10pt checker is moved to the 8pt |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/18 23/18 | eq: +0.121 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 52.48% (G:10.46% B:0.28%)
47.52% (G:7.77% B:0.26%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.109...+0.134) - [100.0%]
Duration: 39 minutes 40 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/7* 7/2* | eq: -0.013 (-0.135) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 48.44% (G:19.48% B:0.72%)
51.56% (G:17.02% B:1.07%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.028...+0.002) - [0.0%]
Duration: 35 minutes 25 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 14918607
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 144 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 161
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--a--CCaB---cEb--b-b-bbAA-:0:0:1:65:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Variant 2: Blue's 10pt checker is moved to the 13pt |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/18 23/18 | eq: -0.017 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 48.72% (G:9.43% B:0.26%)
51.28% (G:8.87% B:0.27%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.030...-0.005) - [100.0%]
Duration: 31 minutes 04 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/7* 7/2* | eq: -0.122 (-0.105) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46.35% (G:18.09% B:0.72%)
53.65% (G:18.25% B:1.18%) | Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.140...-0.105) - [0.0%]
Duration: 28 minutes 07 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 35348293
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 144 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 153
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--a--CCaC-A-cCb--b-b-bbAA-:0:0:1:65:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Variant 3: Blue's 13pt checker is on his 8pt |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/18 23/18 | eq: -0.010 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.52% (G:11.06% B:0.34%)
50.48% (G:11.34% B:0.40%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.016...-0.003) - [63.9%]
Duration: 1 hour 55 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/7* 7/2* | eq: -0.012 (-0.002) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 48.56% (G:21.43% B:0.79%)
51.44% (G:17.56% B:1.39%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.020...-0.003) - [36.1%]
Duration: 1 hour 31 minutes |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 19246216
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 146 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 158
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--a--CCaB-A-cDb--b-bb-bAA-:0:0:1:65:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Variant 4: White owns her 5pt instead of her 4pt |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/18 23/18 | eq: -0.086 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.52% (G:9.71% B:0.32%)
52.48% (G:10.80% B:0.35%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.093...-0.080) - [98.8%]
Duration: 2 hours 22 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/7* 7/2* | eq: -0.098 (-0.012) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46.79% (G:19.09% B:0.68%)
53.21% (G:18.03% B:1.31%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.106...-0.090) - [1.2%]
Duration: 1 hour 55 minutes |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 19953127
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 145 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 158
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a---CCaB-A-cDb--b-b-bbAA-:0:0:1:65:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Variant 5: White's 23pt checker is back on her 24pt |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/18 23/18 | eq: -0.094 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.61% (G:9.52% B:0.30%)
52.39% (G:12.02% B:0.38%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.108...-0.079) - [100.0%]
Duration: 32 minutes 10 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/8 13/7* | eq: -0.164 (-0.070) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46.52% (G:16.31% B:0.88%)
53.48% (G:19.85% B:1.61%) | Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.180...-0.148) - [0.0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 34 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 13/7* 6/1* | eq: -0.172 (-0.078) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 45.92% (G:18.52% B:0.55%)
54.08% (G:20.64% B:1.81%) | Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.190...-0.154) - [0.0%]
Duration: 27 minutes 04 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 53270940
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
Messages In This Thread
- Position of the Day 01-12-25 - K or @?
Stick -- Tuesday, 13 January 2026, at 9:41 a.m.
- Position of the Day 01-12-25 - K or @?
ah_clem -- Tuesday, 13 January 2026, at 2:01 p.m.
- Position of the Day 01-12-25 - K or @?
John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 13 January 2026, at 6:53 p.m.
- Position of the Day 01-12-25 - K or @?
Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 13 January 2026, at 7:04 p.m.
- Position of the Day 01-12-25 - K or @? - Rollout
Stick -- Wednesday, 14 January 2026, at 6:53 p.m.
- PotD 01-12-25 - K or @? - Five Variants
Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 18 January 2026, at 2:15 a.m.
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