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How Greedy? - Two Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Thursday, 22 January 2026, at 10:08 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 01-19-25 - How Greedy? - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 113
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 92
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aB-BCCC--a-bB---a-bbbbb--:1:-1:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

1.Rollout113/11 13/10* eq: +0.962
Player:
Opponent:
87.14% (G:26.30% B:0.37%)
12.86% (G:0.38% B:0.01%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.958...+0.967) - [100.0%]
Duration: 12.4 seconds
2.Rollout16/3 5/3eq: +0.938 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:
90.81% (G:15.68% B:0.17%)
9.19% (G:0.69% B:0.03%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.932...+0.944) - [0.0%]
Duration: 10.5 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are two contrasting variants.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 101
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 92
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aB-BCCC--a--B---abbbbbb--:1:-1:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: White owns her 7pt (instead of 13pt)

1.Rollout16/3 5/3eq: +0.922
Player:
Opponent:
93.74% (G:6.73% B:0.14%)
6.26% (G:0.23% B:0.01%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.920...+0.924) - [100.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 29 seconds
2.Rollout113/11 13/10* eq: +0.912 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:
88.19% (G:18.59% B:0.33%)
11.81% (G:0.32% B:0.01%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.910...+0.915) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 51 seconds
3.Rollout113/10* 7/5eq: +0.902 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:
87.63% (G:18.81% B:0.33%)
12.37% (G:0.46% B:0.01%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.899...+0.904) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 07 seconds
4.Rollout213/10* 6/4eq: +0.886 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:
87.26% (G:17.95% B:0.31%)
12.74% (G:0.37% B:0.01%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.878...+0.895) - [0.0%]
Duration: 26.5 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 20277832
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 310 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 20277832
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 113
1 point match
pip: 92
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aB-BCCC--a-bB---a-bbbbb--:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:1:10
Variant 2: Original position at DMP

1.Rollout16/3 5/3eq: +0.815
Player:
Opponent:
90.75% (G:20.48% B:0.70%)
9.25% (G:0.53% B:0.11%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.811...+0.819) - [100.0%]
Duration: 46.1 seconds
2.Rollout113/11 13/10* eq: +0.747 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:
87.36% (G:26.58% B:0.96%)
12.64% (G:0.33% B:0.02%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.744...+0.750) - [0.0%]
Duration: 57.0 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 55344046
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Also, see Stick's variant with the roll changed from 32 to 43.

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