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Position of the Day 01-23-26 - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 28 January 2026, at 9:57 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 01-23-26 (Stick)

I knew a guy once who wrote an article...XGR++ had all these plays within' .02 of each other. (they still could be but I'm not going to hash out the variance) It might be interesting to see a higher level rollout but I've always found for normal positions it basically ends up being the same so I'm not willing to waste the CPU cycles.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 144
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 150
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-Aa---D-C---cE-abcBe------:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 43

1.Rollout18/1eq: -0.129
Player:
Opponent:
45.60% (G:9.18% B:0.16%)
54.40% (G:10.20% B:0.34%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.135...-0.122) - [78.8%]
Duration: 3 minutes 07 seconds
2.Rollout113/6eq: -0.132 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:
45.79% (G:8.40% B:0.16%)
54.21% (G:9.96% B:0.37%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.138...-0.126) - [21.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 12 seconds
3.Rollout218/14 18/15* eq: -0.154 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:
47.15% (G:9.87% B:0.39%)
52.85% (G:16.15% B:0.66%)
Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.171...-0.137) - [0.2%]
Duration: 1 minute 09 seconds
4.Rollout213/10 13/9eq: -0.156 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:
45.45% (G:8.90% B:0.19%)
54.55% (G:10.21% B:0.48%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.169...-0.144) - [0.0%]
Duration: 57.4 seconds
5.Rollout218/15* 15/11eq: -0.177 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:
46.78% (G:10.34% B:0.43%)
53.22% (G:16.74% B:0.71%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.191...-0.163) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 04 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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