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Position of the Day 01-24-25 - Unusual Cube - Rollout
Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 28 January 2026, at 10:02 a.m.
In Response To: Position of the Day 01-24-25 - Unusual Cube (Stick)
While the original problem is indeed a big pass the first variant shows moving the opp's only spare just that last pip to the ace point makes it takeable. Also shown as Variant #2 is if we already have a man in which makes it unsurprisingly a huge take.
         
 
        
 | | White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 146 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 57
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=---aBCCBB-----------bbbceC:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No redouble | Redouble/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 63.90% (G:47.26% B:0.58%) | 64.06% (G:47.20% B:0.55%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 36.10% (G:4.59% B:0.14%) | 35.94% (G:4.59% B:0.13%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.709 | +1.423 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No redouble: | +0.815 (-0.185) | ±0.008 (+0.808..+0.823) |
| Redouble/Take: | +1.121 (+0.121) | ±0.014 (+1.108..+1.135) |
| Redouble/Pass: | +1.000 |
| |
| Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 25.8 seconds |
Variant #1
| | White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 146 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 56
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=---aBCCBB-----------bbbbfC:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No redouble | Redouble/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 61.96% (G:45.09% B:0.48%) | 62.19% (G:45.08% B:0.47%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 38.04% (G:5.15% B:0.17%) | 37.81% (G:5.16% B:0.16%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.642 | +1.292 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No redouble: | +0.732 (-0.245) | ±0.008 (+0.724..+0.740) |
| Redouble/Take: | +0.977 | ±0.013 (+0.964..+0.990) |
| Redouble/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.023) |
| |
| Best Cube action: Redouble / Take |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 21.8 seconds |
Variant #2
 
| | White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 140 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 57
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=---aBCCBB----------AbbbceB:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No redouble | Redouble/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 57.93% (G:38.07% B:0.19%) | 58.27% (G:37.86% B:0.18%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 42.07% (G:5.06% B:0.15%) | 41.73% (G:4.99% B:0.15%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.489 | +0.989 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No redouble: | +0.537 (-0.122) | ±0.006 (+0.531..+0.543) |
| Redouble/Take: | +0.659 | ±0.012 (+0.647..+0.671) |
| Redouble/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.341) |
| |
| Best Cube action: Redouble / Take |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 24.2 seconds |
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