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We know it's a cube II - Another Variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 28 January 2026, at 4:16 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 01-21-25 - We know it's a cube II - Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 1 score: 0 pip: 121 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 110 score: 0 Blue is Player 2
XGID=a-AC--D-C---cB----Bcbbbb--:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	70.20% (G:25.41% B:0.29%)	70.20% (G:25.99% B:0.40%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	29.80% (G:2.80% B:0.06%)	29.80% (G:2.86% B:0.06%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.632	+1.278
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.664 (-0.336)	±0.009 (+0.655..+0.674)
Double/Take:	+1.056 (+0.056)	±0.012 (+1.044..+1.068)
Double/Pass:	+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 33.9 seconds

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below is a contrasting variant.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 121 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 106 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=--CBBBBb----bC---c-d--ca-A:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Another Variant: Blue's 6pt spare is on his 2pt

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	69.25% (G:24.52% B:0.29%)	69.36% (G:25.14% B:0.37%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	30.75% (G:3.66% B:0.09%)	30.64% (G:3.78% B:0.10%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.596	+1.207
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.640 (-0.335)	±0.007 (+0.632..+0.647)
Double/Take:	+0.975	±0.010 (+0.965..+0.985)
Double/Pass:	+1.000 (+0.025)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 48226825 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 8 minutes 46 seconds

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 01-21-25 - We know it's a cube II
  Stick -- Thursday, 22 January 2026, at 5:43 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 01-21-25 - We know it's a cube II
    ah_clem -- Thursday, 22 January 2026, at 2:22 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 01-21-25 - We know it's a cube II - Rollout
    Stick -- Wednesday, 28 January 2026, at 1:15 a.m.
    • We know it's a cube II - Another Variant
      Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 28 January 2026, at 4:16 p.m.