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PotD 01-22-26 - Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 28 January 2026, at 10:20 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 01-22-26 - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 155
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 173
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---Aa-EaB---dD-a-c-e---AAA:0:0:1:33:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

1.Rollout1Bar/22 8/5(2) 6/3eq: +0.063
Player:
Opponent:		50.02% (G:17.75% B:0.66%)
49.98% (G:11.81% B:0.59%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.055...+0.070) - [99.2%]
Duration: 3 minutes 41 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/22 13/7* 6/3eq: +0.049 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		50.63% (G:16.63% B:0.78%)
49.37% (G:13.31% B:0.72%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.040...+0.058) - [0.8%]
Duration: 4 minutes 25 seconds
3.Rollout2Bar/22 13/10(2) 6/3eq: +0.037 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		50.07% (G:17.70% B:0.79%)
49.93% (G:14.02% B:0.79%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.025...+0.049) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 00 second
4.Rollout3Bar/22 24/15* eq: -0.109 (-0.171)
Player:
Opponent:		47.86% (G:12.44% B:0.54%)
52.14% (G:15.01% B:0.77%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.125...-0.093) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 27 seconds
5.Rollout3Bar/22 13/7* 7/4* eq: -0.141 (-0.204)
Player:
Opponent:		46.92% (G:14.79% B:0.69%)
53.08% (G:17.65% B:1.19%)		Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.159...-0.123) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 22 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are two contrasting variants.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 157
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 173
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--aA--EaB---dD-a-c-e---AAA:0:0:1:33:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: White's 21pt blot is back 2 pips

1.Rollout1Bar/22 13/7* 6/3eq: +0.122
Player:
Opponent:		52.06% (G:18.15% B:0.82%)
47.94% (G:13.18% B:0.71%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.110...+0.134) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 01 minute
2.Rollout1Bar/22 8/5(2) 6/3eq: +0.077 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		50.48% (G:17.99% B:0.62%)
49.52% (G:12.19% B:0.60%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.066...+0.087) - [0.0%]
Duration: 52 minutes 38 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 48226825
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 150
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 173
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---Aa-EaB---cD-a-d-e---AAA:0:0:1:33:0:0:3:0:10
Variant: A White 13pt spare is down on her 8pt

1.Rollout1Bar/22 13/7* 6/3eq: +0.033
Player:
Opponent:		50.30% (G:16.43% B:0.77%)
49.70% (G:14.38% B:0.81%)		Conf.: ± 0.017 (+0.016...+0.051) - [100.0%]
Duration: 30 minutes 41 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/22 8/5(2) 6/3eq: -0.013 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		48.26% (G:16.95% B:0.66%)
51.74% (G:13.03% B:0.67%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.028...+0.002) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 44 seconds
3.Rollout1Bar/22 13/10(2) 6/3eq: -0.043 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent:		48.52% (G:16.76% B:0.76%)
51.48% (G:15.69% B:0.90%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.059...-0.028) - [0.0%]
Duration: 27 minutes 22 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 20277832
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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