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PotD 01-24-25 - Unusual Cube - More Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Thursday, 29 January 2026, at 6:52 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 01-24-25 - Unusual Cube - Rollout (Stick)

Busting further, there are two more variants below.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 146
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 48
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=cHBBB------------bbccbA---:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: Blue missing 5pt

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 52.91% (G:36.57% B:0.18%) 53.24% (G:36.52% B:0.17%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 47.09% (G:7.73% B:0.27%) 46.76% (G:7.68% B:0.28%)
Cubeless Equities +0.346 +0.704
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.385±0.005 (+0.380..+0.391)
Redouble/Take:+0.355 (-0.030)±0.013 (+0.342..+0.368)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.615)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 4.5%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 74352953
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 minutes 20 seconds
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 146
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 52
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=cHB-BB-----------bbccbA---:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: Blue missing 3pt

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 48.09% (G:31.66% B:0.12%) 48.43% (G:31.67% B:0.12%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 51.91% (G:10.30% B:0.38%) 51.57% (G:10.44% B:0.42%)
Cubeless Equities +0.173 +0.356
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.225±0.006 (+0.219..+0.230)
Redouble/Beaver:-0.116 (-0.341)±0.034 (-0.150..-0.082)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.775)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Beaver
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 23.4%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 48226825
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Beaver Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 minutes 50 seconds

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