[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

PotD 01-26-26 - Recube - Cusp Variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Friday, 30 January 2026, at 1:01 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 01-26-26 - Recube - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 65
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 96
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aBABCCB-A---------abbcbdA:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 66.51% (G:13.36% B:0.41%) 67.27% (G:12.96% B:0.38%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33.49% (G:15.88% B:0.25%) 32.73% (G:16.30% B:0.27%)
Cubeless Equities +0.307 +0.626
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.471 (-0.038)±0.003 (+0.467..+0.474)
Redouble/Take:+0.508±0.006 (+0.503..+0.514)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.492)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 54.4 seconds

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below is a cusp (borderline No Redouble / Redouble) variant.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 65
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 96
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aBABCBCA----------abbcbdA:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Variant: Blue's 6pt spare is on his 7pt

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 65.25% (G:12.27% B:0.36%) 65.99% (G:12.06% B:0.35%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 34.75% (G:15.89% B:0.20%) 34.01% (G:16.47% B:0.22%)
Cubeless Equities +0.270 +0.554
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.445±0.003 (+0.442..+0.448)
Redouble/Take:+0.443 (-0.001)±0.006 (+0.438..+0.449)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.555)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 0.3%
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 83526994
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:66.9%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 7 minutes 12 seconds

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.