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PotD 01-25-26 - Boxes - Two Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Friday, 30 January 2026, at 8:40 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 01-25-26 - Boxes - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 108
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 154
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----BBC-B--abB-b-cBbBaaba-:0:0:1:66:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

1.Rollout120/2 8/2eq: -0.585
Player:
Opponent:
33.78% (G:6.05% B:0.17%)
66.22% (G:10.34% B:0.17%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.591...-0.579) - [98.2%]
Duration: 1 minute 53 seconds
2.Rollout120/14 13/7 8/2(2)eq: -0.595 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:
34.03% (G:6.74% B:0.21%)
65.97% (G:13.22% B:0.26%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.601...-0.588) - [1.8%]
Duration: 1 minute 51 seconds
3.Rollout213/7(2) 8/2(2)eq: -0.607 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:
33.28% (G:5.32% B:0.14%)
66.72% (G:7.96% B:0.11%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.617...-0.596) - [0.0%]
Duration: 38.8 seconds
4.Rollout220/8 13/7(2)eq: -0.632 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:
32.69% (G:5.08% B:0.17%)
67.31% (G:10.06% B:0.11%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.645...-0.619) - [0.0%]
Duration: 28.3 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are two contrasting variants:

In Variant 1, two plays are tied, and the play that is best in the original position moves into third place.

In Variant 2, a different candidate moves into first, four plays are "tied," and the play that is best in the original position moves into fourth place.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 113
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 154
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----BBC-B--acB-b-bBbBaaba-:0:0:1:66:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: White's 8pt spare is moved to her 13pt

1.Rollout120/14(2) 8/2(2)eq: -0.520
Player:
Opponent:
33.43% (G:4.08% B:0.11%)
66.57% (G:2.97% B:0.06%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.525...-0.515) - [54.7%]
Duration: 20 minutes 46 seconds
2.Rollout120/14 13/7 8/2(2)eq: -0.521 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:
35.89% (G:6.99% B:0.21%)
64.11% (G:11.81% B:0.30%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.526...-0.515) - [45.3%]
Duration: 16 minutes 34 seconds
3.Rollout120/2 8/2eq: -0.532 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:
35.10% (G:5.74% B:0.16%)
64.90% (G:8.39% B:0.15%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.538...-0.527) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 26 seconds
4.Rollout120/14 13/7(2) 8/2eq: -0.544 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:
35.03% (G:5.92% B:0.18%)
64.97% (G:10.63% B:0.20%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.549...-0.539) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 55 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 83526994
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 111
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 154
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----BBC-B--abB-bc-BbBaaba-:0:0:1:66:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: White's 8pt is moved to her 9pt

1.Rollout120/14 13/7 8/2(2)eq: -0.565
Player:
Opponent:
34.81% (G:7.10% B:0.22%)
65.19% (G:13.12% B:0.31%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.571...-0.559) - [72.2%]
Duration: 27 minutes 41 seconds
2.Rollout120/14(2) 8/2(2)eq: -0.569 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:
32.09% (G:3.77% B:0.10%)
67.91% (G:3.33% B:0.09%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.574...-0.564) - [13.0%]
Duration: 40 minutes 25 seconds
3.Rollout113/7(2) 8/2(2)eq: -0.569 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:
34.21% (G:5.21% B:0.15%)
65.79% (G:7.33% B:0.12%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.575...-0.564) - [9.7%]
Duration: 37 minutes 03 seconds
4.Rollout120/2 8/2eq: -0.571 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:
34.29% (G:5.88% B:0.17%)
65.71% (G:9.80% B:0.18%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.577...-0.565) - [5.1%]
Duration: 28 minutes 27 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 15956753
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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