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IK but still - Variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 31 January 2026, at 6:39 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 01-27-25 - IK but still - Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 133 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 153 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-A--AABaC---dE--b--ecB----:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

1.	Rollout1	8/6 4/1	eq: -0.625
	Player: Opponent: 31.90% (G:3.93% B:0.08%) 68.10% (G:5.93% B:0.22%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.630...-0.620) - [78.8%] Duration: 3 minutes 23 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/5 6/4	eq: -0.628 (-0.003)
	Player: Opponent: 31.74% (G:3.30% B:0.09%) 68.26% (G:5.31% B:0.21%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.634...-0.622) - [21.2%] Duration: 3 minutes 32 seconds
3.	Rollout2	13/8	eq: -0.660 (-0.035)
	Player: Opponent: 31.11% (G:3.23% B:0.08%) 68.89% (G:5.91% B:0.28%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.671...-0.649) - [0.0%] Duration: 55.7 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are three contrasting variants. The second and third (found after countless hours) are rewards to Stick for reading my posts.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 129 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 153 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-A--AABaC---dE--b--dcB-a--:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: A White 6pt spare is on her 2pt

1.	Rollout1	13/11 8/5	eq: -0.657
	Player: Opponent: 32.33% (G:5.54% B:0.16%) 67.67% (G:10.86% B:0.48%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.666...-0.648) - [100.0%] Duration: 26 minutes 49 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/6 4/1	eq: -0.682 (-0.025)
	Player: Opponent: 30.58% (G:4.06% B:0.08%) 69.42% (G:7.03% B:0.27%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.690...-0.674) - [0.0%] Duration: 25 minutes 23 seconds
3.	Rollout2	13/11 4/1	eq: -0.699 (-0.042)
	Player: Opponent: 30.85% (G:5.01% B:0.11%) 69.15% (G:10.16% B:0.36%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.710...-0.688) - [0.0%] Duration: 17 minutes 22 seconds
4.	Rollout2	8/5 6/4	eq: -0.699 (-0.043)
	Player: Opponent: 30.38% (G:3.71% B:0.12%) 69.62% (G:6.73% B:0.24%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.712...-0.687) - [0.0%] Duration: 24 minutes 18 seconds
5.	Rollout2	8/5 4/2	eq: -0.716 (-0.059)
	Player: Opponent: 30.30% (G:4.15% B:0.09%) 69.70% (G:8.11% B:0.34%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.727...-0.704) - [0.0%] Duration: 22 minutes 43 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 15956753 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 15956753 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 133 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 149 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-A--AABaC--BdC--b--ecB----:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: Two Blue 13pt spares are on his 11pt

1.	Rollout1	8/5 6/4	eq: -0.367
	Player: Opponent: 38.99% (G:6.47% B:0.16%) 61.01% (G:6.91% B:0.29%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.372...-0.361) - [96.4%] Duration: 56 minutes 54 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/6 4/1	eq: -0.374 (-0.007)
	Player: Opponent: 38.42% (G:6.73% B:0.12%) 61.58% (G:6.03% B:0.24%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.379...-0.368) - [3.6%] Duration: 54 minutes 03 seconds
3.	Rollout2	13/11 8/5	eq: -0.386 (-0.020)
	Player: Opponent: 38.51% (G:6.35% B:0.15%) 61.49% (G:7.08% B:0.31%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.394...-0.379) - [0.0%] Duration: 21 minutes 35 seconds
4.	Rollout3	13/11 4/1	eq: -0.392 (-0.026)
	Player: Opponent: 38.09% (G:6.39% B:0.11%) 61.91% (G:6.08% B:0.24%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.402...-0.382) - [0.0%] Duration: 10 minutes 56 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 65043421 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 65043421 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 65043421 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 141 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 153 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-A--AABaC---dE-bb--ccB----:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 3: Two White 6pt spares are on her 10pt

1.	Rollout1	8/5 6/4	eq: -0.568
	Player: Opponent: 33.59% (G:3.68% B:0.08%) 66.41% (G:4.99% B:0.21%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.574...-0.561) - [77.4%] Duration: 1 hour 16 minutes
2.	Rollout1	8/6 4/1	eq: -0.571 (-0.003)
	Player: Opponent: 33.36% (G:3.95% B:0.07%) 66.64% (G:4.94% B:0.19%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.576...-0.565) - [22.6%] Duration: 1 hour 12 minutes
3.	Rollout2	8/5 4/2	eq: -0.592 (-0.025)
	Player: Opponent: 33.17% (G:3.97% B:0.08%) 66.83% (G:5.96% B:0.32%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.604...-0.581) - [0.0%] Duration: 10 minutes 57 seconds
4.	Rollout2	13/8	eq: -0.593 (-0.026)
	Player: Opponent: 32.96% (G:3.60% B:0.09%) 67.04% (G:5.57% B:0.25%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.605...-0.581) - [0.0%] Duration: 11 minutes 26 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 9641835 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 9641835 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 01-27-25 - IK but still
  Stick -- Wednesday, 28 January 2026, at 7:16 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 01-27-25 - IK but still
    John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 29 January 2026, at 1:29 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 01-27-25 - IK but still
    ah_clem -- Thursday, 29 January 2026, at 3:08 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 01-27-25 - IK but still
    Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 29 January 2026, at 4:43 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 01-27-25 - IK but still
    Elizabeth (erichktn @ DG) -- Thursday, 29 January 2026, at 5:17 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 01-27-25 - IK but still - Rollout
    Stick -- Friday, 30 January 2026, at 9:54 a.m.
    • IK but still - Variant
      Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 31 January 2026, at 6:39 a.m.
      • IK but still - Variant
        Stick -- Monday, 2 February 2026, at 7:21 a.m.
        • IK but still - Variant
          Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 4 February 2026, at 7:28 a.m.