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Position of the Day 01-30-26 - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 4 February 2026, at 7:14 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 01-30-26 (Stick)

NGL I was on roll here and my first thought was 'is it too good?' Every roll either hit a second (and sometimes third) blot or covers the 4pt. I'm one who likes to play on in general, always looking for an excuse to do so especially against humans. The simpleton reason it's not TG is we don't cover + opponent rolls a four and his board is too strong. Still, I'd have never taken this cube.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 109
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 177
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a--BABB-----aCba--acBbCbb-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 69.34% (G:30.09% B:2.86%) 69.71% (G:30.83% B:2.97%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 30.66% (G:14.65% B:0.50%) 30.29% (G:14.96% B:0.55%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.565 +1.154
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.794 (-0.148)±0.008 (+0.786..+0.802)
Redouble/Take:+0.942±0.018 (+0.924..+0.960)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.058)
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 minutes 07 seconds

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