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Position of the Day 02-01-26 - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 4 February 2026, at 7:26 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 02-01-26 (Stick)

It's funny how a position can come up OtB and you're like 'hey, I remember this position!' It was either this position exactly or something very similar that I've had before. It was a take the last time I saw it years upon years ago and I was somewhat shocked. Apparently enough so that when it came up this time against XG I recognized it was probably a take and the reasons behind it. In short, it's how the larger numbers play.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 171
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 146
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa--aAEBC---cA---dBe----A-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 68.26% (G:28.38% B:1.73%) 68.54% (G:29.36% B:1.75%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 31.74% (G:6.60% B:0.26%) 31.46% (G:6.85% B:0.31%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.598 +1.221
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.793 (-0.181)±0.008 (+0.785..+0.802)
Double/Take:+0.974±0.013 (+0.961..+0.988)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.026)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 minutes 06 seconds

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