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Position of the Day 02-06-260 - Run n Gun or Stay n Lay - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 10 February 2026, at 3:54 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 02-06-26 - Run n Gun or Stay n Lay (Stick)

I expect this would have been tough on most humans OtB. Running when ahead ~20 pips seems pretty natural given the other plays tear up part of your position and don't look good at all to the human eye. I've also included the dmp rollout below where running doesn't make the cut either.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 147
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 136
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----BbE-BB-Bbb---bbbcB----:0:0:1:64:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 64

1.Rollout18/4 8/2eq: -0.299
Player:
Opponent:
42.17% (G:6.93% B:0.18%)
57.83% (G:10.21% B:0.38%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.311...-0.286) - [54.2%]
Duration: 54.3 seconds
2.Rollout18/2 6/2eq: -0.299 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:
41.27% (G:8.48% B:0.26%)
58.73% (G:9.61% B:0.42%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.313...-0.286) - [45.8%]
Duration: 51.7 seconds
3.Rollout121/11eq: -0.399 (-0.100)
Player:
Opponent:
40.21% (G:7.81% B:0.30%)
59.79% (G:13.62% B:0.35%)
Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.415...-0.383) - [0.0%]
Duration: 52.7 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


DMP Rollout





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 147
1 point match
pip: 136
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----BbE-BB-Bbb---bbbcB----:0:0:1:64:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 64

1.Rollout18/4 8/2eq: -0.163
Player:
Opponent:
41.83% (G:10.09% B:0.47%)
58.17% (G:8.96% B:0.81%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.168...-0.159) - [100.0%]
Duration: 36.3 seconds
2.Rollout18/2 6/2eq: -0.178 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:
41.10% (G:10.51% B:0.42%)
58.90% (G:10.08% B:0.78%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.183...-0.173) - [0.0%]
Duration: 36.1 seconds
3.Rollout121/11eq: -0.210 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:
39.48% (G:10.44% B:0.68%)
60.52% (G:14.54% B:1.79%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.216...-0.205) - [0.0%]
Duration: 43.2 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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