BGonline.org Forums

PotD 02-05-26 - Three Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 14 February 2026, at 1:57 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 02-05-26 - Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 170 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 105 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aB-C-cD-C-A-cA---b-bbb-A--:2:1:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

1.	Rollout1	13/9 10/9	eq: +0.135
	Player: Opponent: 45.73% (G:18.75% B:0.15%) 54.27% (G:8.10% B:0.30%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.129...+0.140) - [100.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 44 seconds
2.	Rollout1	6/2 3/2	eq: +0.119 (-0.016)
	Player: Opponent: 44.52% (G:22.39% B:0.15%) 55.48% (G:11.71% B:0.49%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.113...+0.125) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 16 seconds
1 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are two contrasting variants and one affirming variant.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 170 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 100 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aB-D-cD-B-A-cA---b-bbb-A--:2:1:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: The Blue 8pt spare is moved to the 3pt

1.	Rollout1	6/2 3/2	eq: +0.055
	Player: Opponent: 42.31% (G:23.01% B:0.14%) 57.69% (G:12.93% B:0.58%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.047...+0.064) - [99.2%] Duration: 18 minutes 41 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/9 10/9	eq: +0.041 (-0.014)
	Player: Opponent: 42.06% (G:18.94% B:0.12%) 57.94% (G:9.34% B:0.39%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.034...+0.049) - [0.8%] Duration: 21 minutes 28 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 41983547 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 170 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 103 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aB-C-cE-B-A-cA---b-bbb-A--:2:1:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: The Blue 8pt spare is moved to the 6pt

1.	Rollout1	6/2 3/2	eq: +0.103
	Player: Opponent: 44.00% (G:22.97% B:0.17%) 56.00% (G:11.90% B:0.52%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.097...+0.110) - [100.0%] Duration: 19 minutes 25 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/9 10/9	eq: +0.086 (-0.017)
	Player: Opponent: 43.83% (G:18.94% B:0.17%) 56.17% (G:8.36% B:0.33%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.079...+0.093) - [0.0%] Duration: 24 minutes 16 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 49849457 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 170 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 106 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aB-C-cD-C--AcA---b-bbb-A--:2:1:1:42:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 3: Choice of 9pt vs 4pt (instead of 9pt vs 2pt)

1.	Rollout1	13/9 11/9	eq: +0.134
	Player: Opponent: 45.65% (G:18.77% B:0.16%) 54.35% (G:8.08% B:0.29%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.127...+0.141) - [100.0%] Duration: 18 minutes 40 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/4 6/4	eq: +0.105 (-0.030)
	Player: Opponent: 43.94% (G:22.46% B:0.19%) 56.06% (G:11.41% B:0.52%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.097...+0.112) - [0.0%] Duration: 16 minutes 26 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 62831337 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 02-05-26
  Stick -- Friday, 6 February 2026, at 5:32 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 02-05-26
    ah_clem -- Friday, 6 February 2026, at 4:12 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 02-05-26
    Elizabeth (erichktn @ DG) -- Friday, 6 February 2026, at 7:05 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 02-05-26
    michael Zakrajsek -- Friday, 6 February 2026, at 10:47 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 02-05-26
    Annibal -- Saturday, 7 February 2026, at 2:32 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 02-05-26 - Rollout
    Stick -- Sunday, 8 February 2026, at 6:13 a.m.
    • PotD 02-05-26 - Three Variants
      Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 14 February 2026, at 1:57 p.m.