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I steal from FB - Variants
Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 16 February 2026, at 7:41 a.m.
In Response To: Position of the Day 02-10-11 - I steal from FB - Rollout (Stick)

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 138 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 149 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-a----E-E-a-cC---c-eB-b---:0:0:1:55:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Original Position |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 20/10*(2) | eq: +0.656 |
| Player: Opponent: | 67.80% (G:9.81% B:0.29%) 32.20% (G:5.36% B:0.14%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.641...+0.670) - [100.0%] Duration: 48.6 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/3(2) 6/1*(2) | eq: +0.613 (-0.043) |
| Player: Opponent: | 62.55% (G:25.19% B:0.30%) 37.45% (G:5.76% B:0.24%) | Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.602...+0.624) - [0.0%] Duration: 24.8 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 20/10* 6/1*(2) | eq: +0.557 (-0.099) |
| Player: Opponent: | 62.99% (G:20.31% B:0.40%) 37.01% (G:9.01% B:0.33%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.543...+0.571) - [0.0%] Duration: 33.8 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
Above is Stick's rollout of the original position. With the cube centered, pointing on the 10pt is best by far.
Below are two contrasting variants.
Nack

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 132 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 149 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-a----E-E-a-cC---b-eB-ba--:0:0:1:55:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Variant 1: The White 8pt spare is moved to her 2pt |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 20/10* 6/1*(2) | eq: +0.607 |
| Player: Opponent: | 63.50% (G:23.02% B:0.60%) 36.50% (G:9.67% B:0.35%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.600...+0.614) - [99.9%] Duration: 25 minutes 57 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/3(2) 6/1*(2) | eq: +0.592 (-0.015) |
| Player: Opponent: | 62.31% (G:26.72% B:0.46%) 37.69% (G:6.65% B:0.28%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.586...+0.598) - [0.1%] Duration: 19 minutes 36 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 20/10*(2) | eq: +0.560 (-0.047) |
| Player: Opponent: | 65.50% (G:9.44% B:0.34%) 34.50% (G:6.30% B:0.15%) | Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.549...+0.571) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 23 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 62831337 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 62831337 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 134 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 149 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-a----E-E-a-cC---b-eBab---:0:0:1:55:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Variant 2: The White 8pt spare is moved to her 4pt |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 8/3(2) 6/1*(2) | eq: +0.584 |
| Player: Opponent: | 61.93% (G:26.30% B:0.54%) 38.07% (G:6.63% B:0.29%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.578...+0.589) - [54.3%] Duration: 20 minutes 49 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 20/10* 6/1*(2) | eq: +0.583 (0.000) |
| Player: Opponent: | 62.75% (G:23.19% B:0.62%) 37.25% (G:10.16% B:0.39%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.576...+0.590) - [45.7%] Duration: 26 minutes 30 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 20/10*(2) | eq: +0.562 (-0.022) |
| Player: Opponent: | 65.41% (G:9.53% B:0.36%) 34.59% (G:6.36% B:0.14%) | Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.551...+0.572) - [0.0%] Duration: 10 minutes 38 seconds |
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| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 57089069 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 57089069 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
Messages In This Thread
- Position of the Day 02-10-11 - I steal from FB
Stick -- Wednesday, 11 February 2026, at 6:49 a.m.
- Position of the Day 02-10-11 - I steal from FB
Elizabeth (erichktn @ DG) -- Wednesday, 11 February 2026, at 3:09 p.m.
- Position of the Day 02-10-11 - I steal from FB
ah_clem -- Wednesday, 11 February 2026, at 3:12 p.m.
- Position of the Day 02-10-11 - I steal from FB
Bob Koca -- Thursday, 12 February 2026, at 3:23 a.m.
- Position of the Day 02-10-11 - I steal from FB - Rollout
Stick -- Saturday, 14 February 2026, at 1:32 a.m.
- I steal from FB - Variants
Nack Ballard -- Monday, 16 February 2026, at 7:41 a.m.
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