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I steal from FB - Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 16 February 2026, at 7:41 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 02-10-11 - I steal from FB - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 138
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 149
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-E-a-cC---c-eB-b---:0:0:1:55:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

1.Rollout120/10*(2) eq: +0.656
Player:
Opponent:
67.80% (G:9.81% B:0.29%)
32.20% (G:5.36% B:0.14%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.641...+0.670) - [100.0%]
Duration: 48.6 seconds
2.Rollout18/3(2) 6/1*(2) eq: +0.613 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:
62.55% (G:25.19% B:0.30%)
37.45% (G:5.76% B:0.24%)
Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.602...+0.624) - [0.0%]
Duration: 24.8 seconds
3.Rollout120/10* 6/1*(2) eq: +0.557 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:
62.99% (G:20.31% B:0.40%)
37.01% (G:9.01% B:0.33%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.543...+0.571) - [0.0%]
Duration: 33.8 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position. With the cube centered, pointing on the 10pt is best by far.

Below are two contrasting variants.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 132
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 149
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-E-a-cC---b-eB-ba--:0:0:1:55:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: The White 8pt spare is moved to her 2pt

1.Rollout120/10* 6/1*(2) eq: +0.607
Player:
Opponent:
63.50% (G:23.02% B:0.60%)
36.50% (G:9.67% B:0.35%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.600...+0.614) - [99.9%]
Duration: 25 minutes 57 seconds
2.Rollout18/3(2) 6/1*(2) eq: +0.592 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:
62.31% (G:26.72% B:0.46%)
37.69% (G:6.65% B:0.28%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.586...+0.598) - [0.1%]
Duration: 19 minutes 36 seconds
3.Rollout220/10*(2) eq: +0.560 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:
65.50% (G:9.44% B:0.34%)
34.50% (G:6.30% B:0.15%)
Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.549...+0.571) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 23 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62831337
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62831337
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 134
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 149
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-E-a-cC---b-eBab---:0:0:1:55:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: The White 8pt spare is moved to her 4pt

1.Rollout18/3(2) 6/1*(2) eq: +0.584
Player:
Opponent:
61.93% (G:26.30% B:0.54%)
38.07% (G:6.63% B:0.29%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.578...+0.589) - [54.3%]
Duration: 20 minutes 49 seconds
2.Rollout120/10* 6/1*(2) eq: +0.583 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:
62.75% (G:23.19% B:0.62%)
37.25% (G:10.16% B:0.39%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.576...+0.590) - [45.7%]
Duration: 26 minutes 30 seconds
3.Rollout220/10*(2) eq: +0.562 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:
65.41% (G:9.53% B:0.36%)
34.59% (G:6.36% B:0.14%)
Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.551...+0.572) - [0.0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 38 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 57089069
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 57089069
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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