[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Make the best of it - Four Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 21 February 2026, at 9:42 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 02-15-26 - Make the best of it - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 117
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 119
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-CBD-a--Ba-----b-bbcBcB-a-:1:1:1:63:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

1.Rollout122/13eq: -0.651
Player:
Opponent:
22.15% (G:2.34% B:0.03%)
77.85% (G:19.06% B:0.46%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.656...-0.647) - [100.0%]
Duration: 41.0 seconds
2.Rollout122/16 8/5* eq: -0.670 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:
23.97% (G:4.25% B:0.05%)
76.03% (G:26.44% B:1.17%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.677...-0.664) - [0.0%]
Duration: 46.3 seconds
3.Rollout220/14 8/5* eq: -0.702 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:
23.41% (G:5.09% B:0.05%)
76.59% (G:28.64% B:1.66%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.710...-0.693) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25.7 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are four contrasting variants.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 119
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 119
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-CBD-a--Ba-----b-d-cBcB-a-:1:1:1:63:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: White's two 7pt checkers are on her 8pt

1.Rollout122/16 8/5* eq: -0.551
Player:
Opponent:
27.15% (G:5.35% B:0.06%)
72.85% (G:23.56% B:0.95%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.555...-0.547) - [100.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 32 seconds
2.Rollout120/14 8/5* eq: -0.568 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:
26.94% (G:5.90% B:0.06%)
73.06% (G:24.95% B:1.20%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.572...-0.563) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 15 seconds
3.Rollout122/13eq: -0.571 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:
24.63% (G:2.73% B:0.03%)
75.37% (G:17.45% B:0.39%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.575...-0.567) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 40 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62831337
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 111
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 119
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-CBD-a--Ba-----b-b-cBeB-a-:1:1:1:63:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: White's two 7pt checkers are on her 4pt

1.Rollout120/14 8/5* eq: -0.517
Player:
Opponent:
28.24% (G:5.09% B:0.06%)
71.76% (G:22.63% B:1.05%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.522...-0.513) - [100.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 10 seconds
2.Rollout122/16 8/5* eq: -0.538 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:
27.31% (G:4.75% B:0.07%)
72.69% (G:22.32% B:0.86%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.542...-0.533) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 02 seconds
3.Rollout222/13eq: -0.575 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent:
24.05% (G:2.54% B:0.05%)
75.95% (G:16.36% B:0.34%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.583...-0.568) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 48 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 41983547
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 41983547
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 117
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 123
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-C-DBa--Ba-----b-bbcBcB-a-:1:1:1:63:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 3: Blue's 2pt is changed to his 4pt

1.Rollout122/16 8/5* eq: -0.538
Player:
Opponent:
27.67% (G:6.29% B:0.12%)
72.33% (G:24.20% B:1.16%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.546...-0.529) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 40 seconds
2.Rollout120/14 8/5* eq: -0.579 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:
27.03% (G:7.47% B:0.11%)
72.97% (G:27.61% B:1.60%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.588...-0.570) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 42 seconds
3.Rollout122/13eq: -0.590 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:
23.85% (G:2.81% B:0.05%)
76.15% (G:17.53% B:0.46%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.597...-0.582) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 47 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 24792330
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 117
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 134
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BD-aC-Ba-----b-bbcBcB-a-:1:1:1:63:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 4: Blue's 1pt is changed to his 6pt

1.Rollout120/14 8/5* eq: -0.238
Player:
Opponent:
36.31% (G:12.43% B:0.33%)
63.69% (G:21.74% B:1.28%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.244...-0.233) - [98.8%]
Duration: 27 minutes 48 seconds
2.Rollout122/16 8/5* eq: -0.246 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:
35.85% (G:11.17% B:0.30%)
64.15% (G:20.17% B:1.05%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.251...-0.242) - [1.2%]
Duration: 27 minutes 23 seconds
3.Rollout222/13eq: -0.458 (-0.220)
Player:
Opponent:
27.17% (G:5.39% B:0.18%)
72.83% (G:14.82% B:0.44%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.466...-0.451) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 13 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 91241819
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 91241819
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response

Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:

 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.