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Human next? - Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 23 February 2026, at 5:39 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 02-17-26 - Human next! - Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 144 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 153 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---b--E-E---bCa--bcc-bB---:0:0:1:63:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

1.	Rollout1	8/5 8/2	eq: -0.606
	Player: Opponent: 33.92% (G:7.53% B:0.24%) 66.08% (G:13.63% B:0.59%) Conf.: ą 0.008 (-0.613...-0.598) - [100.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 47 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/4	eq: -0.627 (-0.022)
	Player: Opponent: 33.46% (G:7.44% B:0.28%) 66.54% (G:13.94% B:0.61%) Conf.: ą 0.007 (-0.635...-0.620) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 52 seconds
3.	Rollout2	13/10 8/2	eq: -0.631 (-0.025)
	Player: Opponent: 33.06% (G:7.27% B:0.21%) 66.94% (G:12.89% B:0.55%) Conf.: ą 0.009 (-0.640...-0.622) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 39 seconds
4.	Rollout3	22/13	eq: -0.641 (-0.035)
	Player: Opponent: 35.76% (G:6.23% B:0.29%) 64.24% (G:22.95% B:0.47%) Conf.: ą 0.012 (-0.653...-0.629) - [0.0%] Duration: 44.4 seconds
1 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are four variants. Altogether, there are five positions with five best plays represented.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 143 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 153 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---b--E-E---bCa--bbd-bB---:0:0:1:63:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: White's 7pt spare is moved to her 6pt

1.	Rollout1	13/4	eq: -0.567
	Player: Opponent: 34.93% (G:7.56% B:0.27%) 65.07% (G:13.30% B:0.56%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.574...-0.560) - [99.2%] Duration: 49 minutes 26 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/10 8/2	eq: -0.579 (-0.012)
	Player: Opponent: 34.56% (G:7.53% B:0.24%) 65.44% (G:13.26% B:0.61%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.585...-0.573) - [0.8%] Duration: 45 minutes 19 seconds
3.	Rollout1	8/5 8/2	eq: -0.586 (-0.019)
	Player: Opponent: 34.27% (G:7.72% B:0.25%) 65.73% (G:13.49% B:0.60%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.593...-0.580) - [0.0%] Duration: 48 minutes 58 seconds
4.	Rollout2	22/13	eq: -0.611 (-0.044)
	Player: Opponent: 36.65% (G:6.35% B:0.24%) 63.35% (G:23.76% B:0.51%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.625...-0.597) - [0.0%] Duration: 9 minutes 20 seconds
5.	Rollout2	13/7 8/5	eq: -0.659 (-0.092)
	Player: Opponent: 33.26% (G:7.03% B:0.28%) 66.74% (G:16.28% B:0.72%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.672...-0.647) - [0.0%] Duration: 10 minutes 00 second
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 49849457 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 49849457 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 145 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 153 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---b--E-E---bCa--bdb-bB---:0:0:1:63:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: White's 6pt spare is moved to her 7pt

1.	Rollout1	22/13	eq: -0.510
	Player: Opponent: 38.69% (G:6.98% B:0.30%) 61.31% (G:20.53% B:0.50%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.517...-0.504) - [100.0%] Duration: 54 minutes 56 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/5 8/2	eq: -0.536 (-0.026)
	Player: Opponent: 35.59% (G:8.41% B:0.28%) 64.41% (G:13.62% B:0.61%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.543...-0.529) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 00 minute
3.	Rollout2	13/4	eq: -0.568 (-0.057)
	Player: Opponent: 34.94% (G:7.78% B:0.26%) 65.06% (G:13.15% B:0.54%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.584...-0.551) - [0.0%] Duration: 24 minutes 29 seconds
4.	Rollout2	13/10 8/2	eq: -0.571 (-0.060)
	Player: Opponent: 34.41% (G:7.81% B:0.27%) 65.59% (G:12.63% B:0.52%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.585...-0.556) - [0.0%] Duration: 23 minutes 24 seconds
5.	Rollout2	13/7 8/5	eq: -0.633 (-0.123)
	Player: Opponent: 33.92% (G:7.27% B:0.22%) 66.08% (G:16.07% B:0.64%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.646...-0.620) - [0.0%] Duration: 22 minutes 53 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 41983551 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 41983551 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 141 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 153 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---b--E-E---bCa--bbc-cB---:0:0:1:63:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 3: White's 7pt spare is moved to her 4pt

1.	Rollout1	13/10 8/2	eq: -0.535
	Player: Opponent: 35.59% (G:7.90% B:0.27%) 64.41% (G:12.93% B:0.57%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.542...-0.528) - [66.1%] Duration: 1 hour 10 minutes
2.	Rollout1	13/4	eq: -0.537 (-0.002)
	Player: Opponent: 35.79% (G:8.04% B:0.29%) 64.21% (G:13.27% B:0.57%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.544...-0.530) - [33.9%] Duration: 1 hour 12 minutes
3.	Rollout1	8/5 8/2	eq: -0.556 (-0.021)
	Player: Opponent: 35.59% (G:8.23% B:0.29%) 64.41% (G:14.15% B:0.62%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.563...-0.548) - [0.0%] Duration: 39 minutes 13 seconds
4.	Rollout2	13/7 8/5	eq: -0.623 (-0.088)
	Player: Opponent: 34.47% (G:7.67% B:0.28%) 65.53% (G:16.74% B:0.67%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.636...-0.610) - [0.0%] Duration: 13 minutes 46 seconds
5.	Rollout2	22/13	eq: -0.712 (-0.177)
	Player: Opponent: 35.28% (G:6.20% B:0.28%) 64.72% (G:26.60% B:0.49%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.729...-0.695) - [0.0%] Duration: 12 minutes 01 second
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 91241819 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 91241819 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 147 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 153 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---b--E-E---bCa--bdc-aB---:0:0:1:63:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 4: a White 4pt checker is moved to her 7pt

1.	Rollout1	13/7 8/5	eq: -0.383
	Player: Opponent: 39.56% (G:10.56% B:0.46%) 60.44% (G:14.33% B:0.63%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.391...-0.376) - [60.5%] Duration: 1 hour 06 minutes
2.	Rollout1	22/13	eq: -0.385 (-0.002)
	Player: Opponent: 41.86% (G:7.51% B:0.31%) 58.14% (G:19.17% B:0.48%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.392...-0.378) - [36.3%] Duration: 1 hour 05 minutes
3.	Rollout1	8/5 8/2	eq: -0.391 (-0.008)
	Player: Opponent: 39.64% (G:9.88% B:0.37%) 60.36% (G:14.72% B:0.69%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.399...-0.384) - [3.2%] Duration: 41 minutes 10 seconds
4.	Rollout1	13/10 8/2	eq: -0.401 (-0.018)
	Player: Opponent: 39.22% (G:9.71% B:0.35%) 60.78% (G:13.75% B:0.62%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.409...-0.394) - [0.0%] Duration: 42 minutes 12 seconds
5.	Rollout2	13/4	eq: -0.419 (-0.036)
	Player: Opponent: 39.06% (G:9.26% B:0.35%) 60.94% (G:13.94% B:0.62%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.432...-0.406) - [0.0%] Duration: 15 minutes 39 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 49841853 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 49841853 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 02-17-26 - Human next!
  Stick -- Wednesday, 18 February 2026, at 7:13 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 02-17-26 - Human next!
    Frank Berger -- Wednesday, 18 February 2026, at 2:18 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 02-17-26 - Human next!
    ah_clem -- Wednesday, 18 February 2026, at 2:40 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 02-17-26 - Human next!
    John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 18 February 2026, at 3:08 p.m.
    • Position of the Day 02-17-26 - Human next!
      Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 18 February 2026, at 4:32 p.m.
      • Position of the Day 02-17-26 - Human next!
        John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 18 February 2026, at 5:06 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 02-17-26 - Human next!
    Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 18 February 2026, at 4:26 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 02-17-26 - Human next!
    Annibal -- Wednesday, 18 February 2026, at 7:09 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 02-17-26 - Human next!
    pierrez -- Thursday, 19 February 2026, at 8:37 a.m.
  • ROLLOUT: Position of the Day 02-17-26 - Human next!
    ah_clem -- Friday, 20 February 2026, at 9:22 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 02-17-26 - Human next! - Rollout
    Stick -- Saturday, 21 February 2026, at 3:09 a.m.
    • Human next? - Variants
      Nack Ballard -- Monday, 23 February 2026, at 5:39 a.m.