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PotD 02-21-26 - Three Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 28 February 2026, at 8:44 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 02-21-26 - Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 191 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 132 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aBa-baC-CCAAc----aAdb-A---:1:-1:1:64:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

1.	Rollout1	8/2* 6/2	eq: +0.632
	Player: Opponent: 66.46% (G:50.27% B:2.69%) 33.54% (G:7.74% B:0.40%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.624...+0.639) - [100.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 02 seconds
2.	Rollout1	11/5* 9/5	eq: +0.612 (-0.020)
	Player: Opponent: 66.01% (G:48.02% B:2.81%) 33.99% (G:6.55% B:0.31%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.604...+0.619) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 04 seconds
1 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are three contrasting variants.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 191 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 136 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=a-aBbaC-CCAAc----aAdb-A---:1:-1:1:64:0:0:3:0:10
Variant: Blue's 1pt is changed to his 3pt

1.	Rollout1	11/5* 9/5	eq: +0.591
	Player: Opponent: 66.36% (G:44.82% B:3.02%) 33.64% (G:5.52% B:0.27%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.578...+0.605) - [100.0%] Duration: 17 minutes 45 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/2* 6/2	eq: +0.552 (-0.040)
	Player: Opponent: 64.90% (G:45.39% B:3.05%) 35.10% (G:7.04% B:0.34%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.538...+0.565) - [0.0%] Duration: 17 minutes 42 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 47300933 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 186 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 132 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aBa-baC-CCAAb----bAdb-A---:1:-1:1:64:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: The White 13pt spare is on her 8pt

1.	Rollout1	11/5* 9/5	eq: +0.416
	Player: Opponent: 62.61% (G:39.25% B:1.25%) 37.39% (G:7.88% B:0.36%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.404...+0.428) - [100.0%] Duration: 18 minutes 26 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/2* 6/2	eq: +0.377 (-0.039)
	Player: Opponent: 61.89% (G:39.76% B:0.81%) 38.11% (G:9.57% B:0.55%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.366...+0.389) - [0.0%] Duration: 17 minutes 58 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 33978672 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 189 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 132 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aBa-baC-CCAAc----aAd-bA---:1:-1:1:64:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 3: White's 5pt is changed to her 4pt

1.	Rollout1	11/5* 9/5	eq: +0.683
	Player: Opponent: 67.99% (G:49.23% B:2.97%) 32.01% (G:5.80% B:0.26%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.676...+0.689) - [99.2%] Duration: 47 minutes 45 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/2* 6/2	eq: +0.671 (-0.011)
	Player: Opponent: 67.98% (G:50.62% B:2.69%) 32.02% (G:7.24% B:0.39%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.665...+0.678) - [0.8%] Duration: 46 minutes 04 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 46039272 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 02-21-26
  Stick -- Wednesday, 25 February 2026, at 6:58 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 02-21-26
    John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 25 February 2026, at 3:11 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 02-21-26
    Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 25 February 2026, at 3:25 p.m.
    • Position of the Day 02-21-26
      negheonegu -- Wednesday, 25 February 2026, at 5:53 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 02-21-26
    ah_clem -- Wednesday, 25 February 2026, at 6:42 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 02-21-26 - Rollout
    Stick -- Saturday, 28 February 2026, at 5:50 a.m.
    • Position of the Day 02-21-26 - Rollout
      ah_clem -- Saturday, 28 February 2026, at 7:29 p.m.
    • PotD 02-21-26 - Three Variants
      Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 28 February 2026, at 8:44 p.m.