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DQ 10: Safety first? * RO *

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Sunday, 1 March 2026, at 9:50 p.m.

In Response To: DQ 10: Safety first? (leobueno)

Note that for the plays not rolled out, XG++ assigns the same equity. That feels weird.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 139 7 point match pip: 156 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=--a---E-D-aBcB---bbd-b-B--:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:7:10
Blue to play 62

1.	Rollout1	8/2* 6/4	eq: -0.910
	Player: Opponent: 30.18% (G:7.29% B:0.41%) 69.82% (G:21.22% B:1.54%) Conf.: ± 0.019 (-0.929...-0.891) - [100.0%] Duration: 14 minutes 23 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/6 8/2*	eq: -0.980 (-0.070)
	Player: Opponent: 28.36% (G:6.71% B:0.24%) 71.64% (G:19.75% B:1.27%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.997...-0.962) - [0.0%] Duration: 13 minutes 02 seconds
3.	Rollout1	11/9 11/5	eq: -0.982 (-0.072)
	Player: Opponent: 27.76% (G:5.80% B:0.26%) 72.24% (G:18.29% B:1.07%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.999...-0.966) - [0.0%] Duration: 12 minutes 28 seconds
4.	Rollout1	13/11 13/7	eq: -0.998 (-0.088)
	Player: Opponent: 26.34% (G:5.29% B:0.32%) 73.66% (G:15.20% B:0.74%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-1.013...-0.983) - [0.0%] Duration: 12 minutes 03 seconds
5.	XG Roller++	11/3	eq: -1.000 (-0.090)
	Player: Opponent: 27.09% (G:5.10% B:0.15%) 72.91% (G:17.35% B:0.90%)
6.	XG Roller++	11/5 6/4	eq: -1.000 (-0.090)
	Player: Opponent: 28.82% (G:5.27% B:0.19%) 71.18% (G:23.21% B:1.43%)
7.	XG Roller++	13/5	eq: -1.000 (-0.090)
	Player: Opponent: 26.44% (G:4.71% B:0.18%) 73.56% (G:18.90% B:0.98%)
8.	XG Roller++	11/9 8/2*	eq: -1.000 (-0.090)
	Player: Opponent: 27.47% (G:5.45% B:0.19%) 72.53% (G:21.38% B:1.32%)
9.	XG Roller++	11/5 8/6	eq: -1.000 (-0.090)
	Player: Opponent: 26.49% (G:4.82% B:0.15%) 73.51% (G:20.05% B:1.08%)
10.	XG Roller++	13/11 8/2*	eq: -1.000 (-0.090)
	Player: Opponent: 26.07% (G:4.83% B:0.18%) 73.93% (G:19.39% B:1.01%)
11.	XG Roller++	13/7 6/4	eq: -1.000 (-0.090)
	Player: Opponent: 27.91% (G:4.69% B:0.21%) 72.09% (G:26.60% B:1.70%)
12.	XG Roller++	13/7 8/6	eq: -1.000 (-0.090)
	Player: Opponent: 24.86% (G:4.10% B:0.16%) 75.14% (G:21.30% B:1.13%)
1 1400 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 76226109 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• DQ 10: Safety first?
  leobueno -- Tuesday, 24 February 2026, at 3:16 p.m.
  • DQ 10: Safety first?
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 24 February 2026, at 4:38 p.m.
  • DQ 10: Safety first?
    ah_clem -- Tuesday, 24 February 2026, at 8:30 p.m.
  • DQ 10: Safety first?
    John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 24 February 2026, at 9:28 p.m.
  • DQ 10: Safety first?
    Stick -- Thursday, 26 February 2026, at 10:32 p.m.
  • DQ 10: Safety first? * RO *
    leobueno -- Sunday, 1 March 2026, at 9:50 p.m.
    • DQ 10: Safety first? * RO *
      pierrez -- Monday, 2 March 2026, at 9:00 a.m.
    • DQ 10: Safety first? - Three Variants
      Nack Ballard -- Monday, 2 March 2026, at 4:55 p.m.
    • DQ 10: Safety first? * RO *
      John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 3 March 2026, at 4:13 p.m.