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Who cares VI ?

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Monday, 2 March 2026, at 12:38 a.m.

In Response To: Who cares VI ? (pierrez)

Hit twice or one of the hit and lift plays? If Blue double hits: 1) Blue will win close to all of White's 25 dancing numbers. 2) Will very likely lose to White's D6. 3) Will be about a 60/40 fav after White's ten other 6s. So White will win about 5/36.

If Blue plays 13/12* 6/1: 1) White will be a big fav with any of the five hit numbers. 2) White's only other good 6 from the bar will be 62. 3) If White dances or enters with 63 or 61, Blue will be a huge fav. Looks like slightly over 5/36 wins for White.

If Blue choose 13/8* 6/5: 1) White is a big fav on the 4 hitters and the non-hitting D6. 2) Blue is a pretty good fav on White's other 6s but Blue might be forced to leave some indirect or a direct shot. 3) Blue will be a huge fav if White dances. This also looks like over 5 wins for White.

So I think the double hit wins slightly more than either of the hit and lifts.

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