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Who cares V ? - Five Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 2 March 2026, at 4:55 a.m.

In Response To: Who cares V ? Rollout (pierrez)

		White is Joueur 1 score: 0 pip: 125 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 149 score: 0 Blue is Joueur 2
XGID=-a-B-BBBB---bAb--cBc-Bca--:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

1.	Rollout1	18/16 18/15	eq: +0,426
	Player: Opponent: 61,77% (G:17,52% B:0,90%) 38,23% (G:13,64% B:0,44%) Conf.: ± 0,014 (+0,413...+0,440) - [97,0%] Duration: 47 minutes 05 seconds
2.	Rollout1	18/15 13/11	eq: +0,405 (-0,022)
	Player: Opponent: 60,77% (G:16,89% B:0,76%) 39,23% (G:13,58% B:0,48%) Conf.: ± 0,015 (+0,390...+0,419) - [1,5%] Duration: 50 minutes 13 seconds
3.	Rollout1	21/18 13/11	eq: +0,404 (-0,022)
	Player: Opponent: 60,58% (G:16,96% B:0,71%) 39,42% (G:13,34% B:0,38%) Conf.: ± 0,015 (+0,389...+0,419) - [1,4%] Duration: 52 minutes 29 seconds
4.	Rollout1	18/13	eq: +0,395 (-0,031)
	Player: Opponent: 60,31% (G:15,72% B:0,66%) 39,69% (G:11,13% B:0,31%) Conf.: ± 0,013 (+0,382...+0,408) - [0,0%] Duration: 52 minutes 51 seconds
5.	Rollout1	13/10 8/6	eq: +0,341 (-0,085)
	Player: Opponent: 58,63% (G:17,60% B:0,67%) 41,37% (G:12,53% B:0,37%) Conf.: ± 0,015 (+0,326...+0,356) - [0,0%] Duration: 47 minutes 49 seconds
6.	Rollout1	13/8	eq: +0,330 (-0,096)
	Player: Opponent: 58,66% (G:16,14% B:0,61%) 41,34% (G:12,15% B:0,31%) Conf.: ± 0,014 (+0,316...+0,344) - [0,0%] Duration: 49 minutes 21 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is pierrez's rollout of the original position.

Below are five contrasting variants. Altogether, five different best plays are represented.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 124 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 149 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=--aB-BBBB---bAb--cBc-Bca--:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: White's 24pt blot is moved up to her 23pt

1.	Rollout1	21/18 13/11	eq: +0.457
	Player: Opponent: 61.68% (G:17.24% B:0.75%) 38.32% (G:12.51% B:0.33%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.450...+0.465) - [100.0%] Duration: 57 minutes 16 seconds
2.	Rollout1	18/16 18/15	eq: +0.432 (-0.025)
	Player: Opponent: 61.85% (G:17.45% B:0.98%) 38.15% (G:13.44% B:0.47%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.424...+0.440) - [0.0%] Duration: 56 minutes 57 seconds
3.	Rollout2	18/13	eq: +0.412 (-0.045)
	Player: Opponent: 60.88% (G:15.93% B:0.63%) 39.12% (G:10.63% B:0.32%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.399...+0.426) - [0.0%] Duration: 27 minutes 02 seconds
4.	Rollout2	13/8	eq: +0.384 (-0.073)
	Player: Opponent: 59.68% (G:17.30% B:0.68%) 40.32% (G:11.86% B:0.34%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.370...+0.398) - [0.0%] Duration: 24 minutes 16 seconds
5.	Rollout2	18/16 13/10	eq: +0.381 (-0.077)
	Player: Opponent: 60.43% (G:17.46% B:0.96%) 39.57% (G:14.33% B:0.50%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.366...+0.395) - [0.0%] Duration: 23 minutes 15 seconds
6.	Rollout2	18/15 13/11	eq: +0.370 (-0.088)
	Player: Opponent: 60.02% (G:17.03% B:0.95%) 39.98% (G:14.07% B:0.48%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.357...+0.383) - [0.0%] Duration: 23 minutes 02 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 81960020 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 81960020 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 129 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 149 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-B-BBBB---bAb--cBd-Bc---:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: White's 2pt blot is back on her 6pt

1.	Rollout1	18/13	eq: +0.404
	Player: Opponent: 60.51% (G:15.44% B:0.60%) 39.49% (G:10.11% B:0.32%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.395...+0.414) - [100.0%] Duration: 33 minutes 47 seconds
2.	Rollout1	18/16 18/15	eq: +0.381 (-0.024)
	Player: Opponent: 61.20% (G:15.96% B:0.75%) 38.80% (G:14.15% B:0.56%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.370...+0.391) - [0.0%] Duration: 32 minutes 13 seconds
3.	Rollout1	21/18 13/11	eq: +0.373 (-0.031)
	Player: Opponent: 59.88% (G:16.53% B:0.63%) 40.12% (G:13.14% B:0.40%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.363...+0.383) - [0.0%] Duration: 31 minutes 24 seconds
4.	Rollout2	18/15 13/11	eq: +0.356 (-0.048)
	Player: Opponent: 59.96% (G:15.60% B:0.71%) 40.04% (G:13.16% B:0.47%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.342...+0.370) - [0.0%] Duration: 11 minutes 51 seconds
5.	Rollout2	13/8	eq: +0.313 (-0.091)
	Player: Opponent: 58.37% (G:15.60% B:0.57%) 41.63% (G:11.69% B:0.34%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.301...+0.325) - [0.0%] Duration: 13 minutes 40 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 47300933 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 47300933 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 124 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 149 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-B-BBBB---bAb--cBc-Bbb--:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 3: White's 3pt spare covers her 2pt

1.	Rollout1	13/8	eq: +0.309
	Player: Opponent: 58.09% (G:15.75% B:0.66%) 41.91% (G:12.15% B:0.31%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.302...+0.316) - [99.7%] Duration: 44 minutes 04 seconds
2.	Rollout1	21/18 13/11	eq: +0.295 (-0.015)
	Player: Opponent: 58.31% (G:15.38% B:0.68%) 41.69% (G:14.96% B:0.35%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.287...+0.303) - [0.3%] Duration: 46 minutes 26 seconds
3.	Rollout2	18/13	eq: +0.259 (-0.050)
	Player: Opponent: 57.03% (G:13.94% B:0.53%) 42.97% (G:12.00% B:0.35%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.246...+0.272) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 42 seconds
4.	Rollout2	13/10 8/6	eq: +0.237 (-0.072)
	Player: Opponent: 56.10% (G:15.42% B:0.53%) 43.90% (G:12.44% B:0.34%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.223...+0.252) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 20 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 45990227 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 45990227 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 129 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 149 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-B-BBBB---dA---cBc-Bca--:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 4: White's 11pt checkers are back on her 13pt

1.	Rollout1	18/15 13/11	eq: +0.525
	Player: Opponent: 63.69% (G:17.96% B:0.64%) 36.31% (G:11.11% B:0.39%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.517...+0.532) - [99.1%] Duration: 28 minutes 13 seconds
2.	Rollout1	21/18 13/11	eq: +0.512 (-0.012)
	Player: Opponent: 63.09% (G:17.22% B:0.53%) 36.91% (G:11.25% B:0.31%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.505...+0.519) - [0.9%] Duration: 29 minutes 19 seconds
3.	Rollout2	18/16 18/15	eq: +0.505 (-0.020)
	Player: Opponent: 63.49% (G:17.58% B:0.75%) 36.51% (G:12.31% B:0.41%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.495...+0.515) - [0.1%] Duration: 12 minutes 32 seconds
4.	Rollout3	18/16 13/10	eq: +0.490 (-0.034)
	Player: Opponent: 62.59% (G:18.49% B:0.79%) 37.41% (G:12.17% B:0.41%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.476...+0.505) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 15 seconds
5.	Rollout3	18/13	eq: +0.489 (-0.035)
	Player: Opponent: 62.40% (G:16.87% B:0.56%) 37.60% (G:9.04% B:0.25%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.477...+0.502) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 56 seconds
6.	Rollout3	13/8	eq: +0.468 (-0.057)
	Player: Opponent: 61.90% (G:16.82% B:0.57%) 38.10% (G:10.16% B:0.24%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.453...+0.482) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 45 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 69722710 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 69722710 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 69722710 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 130 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 149 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-B-BBBB---cAb--bBc-Bca--:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 5: White's 8pt spare is back on her 13pt

1.	Rollout1	21/18 13/11	eq: +0.422
	Player: Opponent: 60.89% (G:17.72% B:0.70%) 39.11% (G:12.55% B:0.42%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.415...+0.428) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 hour 12 minutes
2.	Rollout1	18/16 18/15	eq: +0.402 (-0.019)
	Player: Opponent: 61.27% (G:18.02% B:1.01%) 38.73% (G:14.08% B:0.51%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.394...+0.410) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 10 minutes
3.	Rollout2	18/15 13/11	eq: +0.398 (-0.024)
	Player: Opponent: 60.60% (G:18.14% B:0.88%) 39.40% (G:13.50% B:0.52%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.388...+0.408) - [0.0%] Duration: 26 minutes 39 seconds
4.	Rollout2	18/13	eq: +0.394 (-0.028)
	Player: Opponent: 59.92% (G:17.02% B:0.71%) 40.08% (G:10.73% B:0.35%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.385...+0.403) - [0.0%] Duration: 28 minutes 58 seconds
5.	Rollout3	13/8	eq: +0.348 (-0.074)
	Player: Opponent: 58.80% (G:16.87% B:0.66%) 41.20% (G:11.66% B:0.34%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.335...+0.361) - [0.0%] Duration: 24 minutes 59 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 46039272 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 46039272 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 46039272 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Who cares V ?
  pierrez -- Friday, 27 February 2026, at 1:45 p.m.
  • Who cares V ?
    Elizabeth (erichktn @ DG) -- Friday, 27 February 2026, at 7:11 p.m.
  • Who cares V ?
    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 27 February 2026, at 7:56 p.m.
    • Who cares V ?
      Stick -- Saturday, 28 February 2026, at 5:54 a.m.
  • Who cares V ?
    Bob Koca -- Friday, 27 February 2026, at 10:21 p.m.
  • Who cares V ?
    Stick -- Saturday, 28 February 2026, at 5:56 a.m.
    • Who cares V ?
      ah_clem -- Saturday, 28 February 2026, at 7:23 p.m.
  • Who cares V ?
    ah_clem -- Saturday, 28 February 2026, at 7:10 p.m.
  • Who cares V ? Rollout
    pierrez -- Saturday, 28 February 2026, at 9:02 p.m.
    • Who cares V ? - Five Variants
      Nack Ballard -- Monday, 2 March 2026, at 4:55 a.m.